College Football Playoff Preview: Tennessee vs. Ohio State – Betting Insights & Predictions

Matchup Overview

The College Football Playoff’s first round features a compelling matchup between the No. 9 Tennessee Volunteers and the No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes. Both teams enter this game with strong seasons, each aiming to advance and make a statement on the national stage.

Team Analysis

Tennessee Volunteers

The Volunteers boast a dynamic offense led by redshirt freshman quarterback Nico Iamaleava, who has shown growth throughout the season, completing 65% of his passes for 2,512 yards, 19 touchdowns, and only five interceptions. The ground game is powered by running back Dylan Sampson, who has amassed 1,485 rushing yards and 22 touchdowns, averaging 123.8 yards per game. Wide receivers Squirrel White and Dont’e Thornton Jr. provide reliable targets, contributing significantly to the passing attack.

Defensively, Tennessee excels in stopping the run, allowing fewer than 100 rushing yards per game. The defensive line’s depth and talent have been pivotal, with edge rusher James Pearce Jr. leading the team in sacks.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State’s offense is orchestrated by senior quarterback Will Howard, who has thrown for 2,860 yards, completing 72% of his passes, with 27 touchdowns against eight interceptions. The rushing attack features a tandem of Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson, both capable of breaking big plays. The receiving corps is highlighted by standout freshman Jeremiah Smith and the experienced Emeka Egbuka, both posing significant threats to opposing defenses.

The Buckeyes’ defense is among the nation’s elite, ranking first in scoring defense and total yards allowed per game. Their ability to pressure quarterbacks and stifle the run has been instrumental in their success this season.

Betting Insights

As of December 21, 2024, the betting odds are as follows:

• Spread: Ohio State favored by 7.5 points
• Moneyline: Ohio State -275, Tennessee +220
• Over/Under: 46.5 points

Notably, Ohio State has a 6-6 record against the spread (ATS) this season, while Tennessee stands at 7-5 ATS. The total has gone under in five of Ohio State’s last six games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring affairs.

Key Matchups to Watch

Tennessee’s Rushing Attack vs. Ohio State’s Run Defense

Dylan Sampson’s effectiveness on the ground will be tested against a stout Buckeyes’ front seven. Success in this area could open up play-action opportunities for Iamaleava.

Ohio State’s Passing Game vs. Tennessee’s Secondary

Will Howard’s connection with his receivers, particularly Jeremiah Smith and Emeka Egbuka, will be crucial. Tennessee’s secondary will need to limit big plays to keep the game within reach.

Predictions

Considering both teams’ strengths and recent performances, this matchup is poised to be a competitive contest. Ohio State’s home-field advantage and defensive prowess may provide a slight edge, but Tennessee’s explosive offense has the capability to challenge the Buckeyes significantly.