Chiefs vs. Steelers: Christmas Day Showdown Preview with Player Projections

On December 25, 2024, the Kansas City Chiefs (14-1) will face the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5) at Acrisure Stadium in a highly anticipated Christmas Day matchup. The game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET and will be streamed exclusively on Netflix.

Betting Odds and Trends

  • Point Spread: Chiefs favored by 2.5 points.
  • Over/Under: Set at 44 points.
  • Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS): 6-9-0 this season.
  • Steelers ATS: 10-5-0 this season.
  • Chiefs Recent Performance: On a five-game winning streak, with a 14-1 record this season.
  • Steelers Recent Performance: Coming off two consecutive losses, holding a 10-5 record.

Key Player Projections

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Patrick Mahomes (QB): Projected to throw for approximately 275 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception.
  • Travis Kelce (TE): Expected to record 6 receptions for 80 yards and 1 touchdown.
  • Marquise “Hollywood” Brown (WR): Anticipated to have 4 receptions totaling 60 yards.
  • Isiah Pacheco (RB): Predicted to rush for 70 yards on 15 carries, with a potential touchdown.

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Russell Wilson (QB): Projected to pass for 250 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception.
  • George Pickens (WR): Expected to secure 5 receptions for 75 yards and 1 touchdown.
  • Pat Freiermuth (TE): Anticipated to have 4 receptions totaling 50 yards.
  • Najee Harris (RB): Predicted to rush for 65 yards on 18 carries, with a possible touchdown.

Injury Updates

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Chris Jones (DT): Limited in practice due to a calf injury; status questionable.
  • Jawaan Taylor (RT): Limited in practice with a knee injury; status questionable.
  • D.J. Humphries (LT): Out with a hamstring injury.
  • Chamarri Conner (DB): Out due to concussion protocol.

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Joey Porter Jr. (CB): Out with a knee injury.
  • Ben Skowronek (WR): Out due to a hip injury.
  • Justin Fields (QB): Questionable with an abdominal injury; may serve as the emergency quarterback.
  • George Pickens (WR): Returning from a hamstring injury; expected to play.

Game Insights and Trends

The Chiefs are aiming to secure the AFC’s No. 1 postseason seed with a victory, while the Steelers, though out of contention for the top seed, can still clinch the AFC North title with wins in their final two games. Historically, the Chiefs have struggled in Pittsburgh, losing four of their last five games at Acrisure Stadium. However, Kansas City has shown dominance on the road this season with a 7-0 away record.

The Steelers’ defense, led by T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith, has been one of the league’s most formidable units, ranking top five in sacks and turnovers. Kansas City’s offense, fueled by Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce, will need to overcome the Steelers’ defensive pressure to maintain their winning streak.

On the other hand, the Steelers’ offense has faced challenges in recent weeks. Russell Wilson will look to target George Pickens and Pat Freiermuth to exploit Kansas City’s secondary, which ranks middle of the pack in passing yards allowed. Najee Harris could also play a pivotal role in controlling the clock and keeping Mahomes off the field.

Conclusion

This Christmas Day matchup promises to be an exciting battle between two playoff contenders. The Chiefs bring their explosive offense and road-winning record, while the Steelers rely on their defensive strength and a motivated home crowd. For a deeper dive into the latest predictive analytics and betting insights for this game, visit the full matchup page.