The College Football Playoff quarterfinals feature a compelling matchup between the No. 5 Texas Longhorns (12-2) and the No. 4 Arizona State Sun Devils (11-2) in the Peach Bowl on January 1, 2025, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.
Overview of Matchup
Texas enters this game following a 38-24 victory over Clemson in the first round of the playoffs. The Longhorns, led by head coach Steve Sarkisian, have demonstrated offensive prowess throughout the season.
Arizona State, under head coach Kenny Dillingham, secured their spot by winning the Big 12 Championship with a decisive 45-19 win over Iowa State, earning a first-round bye in the new 12-team playoff format.
Statistical Analysis
Texas boasts a balanced offensive attack, averaging 38.5 points per game. Quarterback Quinn Ewers has been efficient, supported by a robust running game featuring Quintrevion Wisner and Jaydon Blue. The Longhorns’ defense allows an average of 21.3 points per game, excelling in limiting opponents’ rushing attacks.
Arizona State’s offense centers around standout running back Cam Skattebo, who has amassed 1,568 rushing yards and 19 touchdowns this season. The Sun Devils average 34.2 points per game, with a defense that allows 24.7 points per contest. Notably, their defense has been adept at creating turnovers, a factor that could influence the game’s outcome.
Injury Reports and Player Availability
Arizona State will be without leading receiver Jordyn Tyson due to injury, potentially impacting their passing game. Texas anticipates the return of wide receiver Isaiah Bond, which could bolster their aerial attack.
Betting Lines and Odds Movement
As of January 1, 2025, Texas is favored by 12.5 points, with the over/under set at 51 points. The line opened with Texas as a 13.5-point favorite, indicating slight movement in favor of Arizona State. Bettors should monitor any further shifts leading up to kickoff.
Trends and Historical Angles
Against the Spread (ATS): Texas is 8-4-2 ATS this season, while Arizona State stands at 7-5-1.
Over/Under: The over has hit in 7 of Texas’s 14 games and in 6 of Arizona State’s 13 games.
Head-to-Head: This is the second meeting between the programs; Texas won the previous encounter 52-34 in the 2007 Holiday Bowl.
Final Thoughts
This Peach Bowl clash pits two potent offenses against each other, with Texas’s balanced attack squaring off against Arizona State’s physical ground game. The Longhorns’ slight edge in defensive metrics and playmaking capabilities in the secondary could prove decisive. Meanwhile, Arizona State’s ability to generate turnovers will be critical in keeping the game within reach.
