The Cleveland Browns (3-13) are set to face the Baltimore Ravens (11-5) in their season finale at M&T Bank Stadium on January 4, 2025. The Ravens, leading the AFC North, aim to secure the division title with a victory, while the Browns look to end a challenging season on a positive note. Notably, Cleveland managed an upset against Baltimore earlier this season, winning 29-24 on October 27.

The Ravens boast a potent offense, averaging 30.2 points per game (3rd in the NFL), with quarterback Lamar Jackson throwing 39 touchdown passes this season. Their rushing attack, led by Derrick Henry, ranks 2nd in the league with 185 yards per game. Defensively, Baltimore allows 21.9 points per game (13th) and excels against the run, permitting just 81 yards per game (1st).

In contrast, the Browns have struggled offensively, ranking last with 15.5 points per game. Their passing game averages 208 yards (20th), and the rushing attack is 28th with 97 yards per game. Defensively, Cleveland allows 25 points per game (24th) and has a turnover differential of -20, the worst in the league.

Cleveland’s injury report is extensive, with key players like defensive end Myles Garrett (thigh), cornerback Denzel Ward (shoulder), and tight end David Njoku (knee) missing recent practices. Additionally, running backs Jerome Ford (ankle) and Pierre Strong Jr. (concussion) are sidelined.

Baltimore will be without running back Justice Hill (concussion/illness) for the second consecutive game. Starting left guard Patrick Mekari (illness) is questionable, while wide receiver Nelson Agholor has cleared concussion protocols and is expected to play.

The Ravens are substantial favorites, with the spread at -19.5 points. The over/under for total points is set at 41.5. Baltimore’s moneyline is -2778, indicating strong confidence in their victory, while Cleveland’s is +1300.

• Against the Spread (ATS): The Browns are 4-12 ATS this season, while the Ravens are 10-6.
• Over/Under: The under has hit in 10 of Cleveland’s 16 games and in 4 of Baltimore’s 16 games.
• Head-to-Head: Baltimore leads the all-time series 36-15. Despite this, Cleveland secured a victory in their last meeting.

Lamar Jackson (Ravens): An MVP candidate, Jackson has thrown 39 touchdowns against four interceptions and recently broke the NFL’s all-time career rushing record for quarterbacks.

Turnover Differential: Cleveland’s -20 turnover differential is the worst in the league, significantly impacting their performance.

Rushing Defense: Baltimore’s top-ranked rushing defense (81 yards allowed per game) could stifle Cleveland’s already struggling ground game.

Cleveland’s quarterback situation remains unsettled, with Bailey Zappe set to start, marking the Browns’ 40th starting quarterback since 1999. This instability has contributed to their offensive struggles.

The Ravens, with playoff implications on the line, are poised to capitalize on the Browns’ vulnerabilities. Baltimore’s balanced offense and staunch run defense present significant challenges for Cleveland. While the Browns have the potential to surprise, as evidenced by their earlier win this season, the Ravens’ current form and motivations suggest they have the upper hand in this matchup.