As the NFL season advances into Week 15, the playoff picture becomes clearer, with teams jostling for position and bettors seeking insights from recent trends. Here’s our updated power ranking, incorporating Week 14 performances and pertinent betting trends.
1. Detroit Lions (12-1)
The Lions secured a playoff berth with a 34-31 victory over the Green Bay Packers. Their offense continues to excel, averaging over 30 points per game. Notably, Detroit has been a reliable team for bettors, consistently covering the spread in recent matchups.
2. Kansas City Chiefs (12-1)
Clinching the AFC West for the ninth consecutive year, the Chiefs edged the Los Angeles Chargers 19-17. However, Kansas City is on a six-game ATS losing streak, the longest in Patrick Mahomes’ career, indicating a potential overvaluation in betting markets.
3. Philadelphia Eagles (11-2)
The Eagles secured a playoff spot with a 22-16 win over the Carolina Panthers. Their balanced attack and strong defense make them formidable. Philadelphia has been performing well against the spread, particularly in home games.
4. Buffalo Bills (10-3)
Despite a 44-42 loss to the Los Angeles Rams, the Bills maintain a strong position. Buffalo has a tendency to go under the total in road games, with 16 of their last 22 road games hitting the under, a trend bettors might consider.
5. Minnesota Vikings (11-2)
Dominating the Atlanta Falcons 42-21, the Vikings showcase offensive strength. Historically, Minnesota is 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six matchups against Atlanta, a trend that held true in Week 14.
6. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-3)
A 27-14 win over the Cleveland Browns keeps the Steelers atop the AFC North. Pittsburgh has been strong at home, with a 4-1 SU and ATS record this season, continuing their dominance over Cleveland.
7. Seattle Seahawks (8-5)
Securing their fourth consecutive win by defeating the Arizona Cardinals 30-18, the Seahawks lead the NFC West. Their improving defense and effective running game, even with injuries, have been pivotal.
8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6)
With a 28-13 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders, the Buccaneers lead the NFC South. Their offense is finding rhythm, and they’ve been covering the spread consistently in recent games.
9. Los Angeles Rams (7-6)
A thrilling 44-42 win against the Buffalo Bills has the Rams eyeing a wild-card spot. The Rams are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 December games, indicating strong late-season performances.
10. Baltimore Ravens (8-5)
Despite a recent loss, the Ravens hold a wild-card position. Their defense and ground game are crucial, but inconsistent performances have affected their ATS record.
Additional Betting Trends and Insights:
Underdog Success: Week 14 featured eight underdogs winning outright, highlighting the league’s unpredictability.
Public Betting Trends: The Los Angeles Chargers attracted 79% of the money bet against the spread in their matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs, reflecting strong public confidence.
Point Spread Movements: The Atlanta Falcons are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six games against the Minnesota Vikings, a trend that continued in Week 14.
