2025 College Football Playoff National Championship: Ohio State vs. Notre Dame

Overview of Matchup

Both teams have navigated the inaugural 12-team playoff format with impressive performances. Ohio State secured their spot by defeating Tennessee, Oregon, and Texas, while Notre Dame triumphed over Indiana, Georgia, and Penn State. Historically, Ohio State leads the series against Notre Dame 6-2, including a 17-14 victory in their last meeting in 2023.

Statistical Analysis

Ohio State’s offense, led by quarterback Will Howard, has been prolific, averaging 38.5 points per game. Howard has amassed 3,779 passing yards and 33 touchdowns this season. The Buckeyes’ defense has also been formidable, allowing just 14 points in their semifinal win over Texas.

Notre Dame’s offense relies heavily on its ground game, with running back Jeremiyah Love leading the charge. The Fighting Irish defense, anchored by safety Xavier Watts, has been effective, particularly in man coverage schemes.

Injury Reports and Player Availability

Both teams have reported relatively healthy rosters leading up to the championship game, with no significant injuries reported. This allows both coaching staffs to implement their game plans without major adjustments due to player absences.

Betting Lines and Odds Movement

The Buckeyes opened as 10.5-point favorites, with the line adjusting to 8.5 points in recent days. The over/under is set at 45.5 points, indicating expectations of a moderately high-scoring affair. The money line for a Notre Dame victory stands at +310.

Trends and Historical Angles

• Against the Spread (ATS): Notre Dame boasts a 10-0 ATS record in their last ten games, while Ohio State is 4-1 ATS in their last five outings.
• Over/Under: The total has gone under in four of Ohio State’s last five games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.
• Head-to-Head: Ohio State has won the last six meetings against Notre Dame, with the Fighting Irish’s last victory occurring in 1936.

Key Player Insights

• Will Howard (Ohio State): The senior quarterback has been instrumental in the Buckeyes’ offensive success, demonstrating both arm strength and mobility.
• Jeremiyah Love (Notre Dame): A dynamic runner, Love’s ability to find gaps and break tackles will be crucial against a stout Ohio State defense.

Key Matchups

• Jack Sawyer (Ohio State) vs. Aamil Wagner (Notre Dame): Sawyer’s pass-rushing prowess will test Wagner’s protection skills, potentially disrupting Notre Dame’s offensive rhythm.
• Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State) vs. Leonard Moore (Notre Dame): The freshman receiver-cornerback matchup could be pivotal, with Smith’s explosive playmaking abilities challenging Moore’s coverage skills.

Best Bets and Projections

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Final Thoughts

This championship clash features two storied programs with contrasting styles. Ohio State’s high-octane offense will face a stern test against Notre Dame’s disciplined defense. Conversely, the Fighting Irish’s ground-and-pound approach will look to control the clock and limit the Buckeyes’ offensive opportunities. With both teams in peak form and minimal injury concerns, fans can anticipate a compelling and closely contested battle for the national title.