Ty Jerome followed a 31-point, seven-assist game at Sacramento with 15 points and eight assists at Utah. Memphis won both. His passing stayed productive as his scoring changed, bringing the assist ladder into focus for Grizzlies parlay picks for the visit to Portland.
If you’re backing Memphis against Portland, the premise here is a hypothetical Grizzlies win. Memphis has opened 4–0, while the Trail Blazers are 3–0; this edition compares supporting player contributions around your view of that matchup.
Jaylen Wells supplies a lower scoring threshold, Jerome offers a six-assist route at a less expensive price, and Jrue Holiday can contribute three assists for Portland without requiring the Trail Blazers to win. These are individual choices to compare, rather than instructions to combine all three.
Supporting options around a Memphis win
Individual DraftKings prices are snapshots and can change. Wells and Holiday use their current-club appearances from the 2025–26 season through October 27 of this season, including postseason games; Jerome’s shorter Memphis sample begins January 31. Each all-game comparison covers the same period and club as its win or loss record. Jerome’s seven Memphis wins are a small sample; Holiday’s Portland-loss record comes entirely from last season because the Blazers have not lost this season.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Wells 8+ points |
−370 | 92.9% 26 of 28 Memphis wins |
84.9% 62 of 73 Memphis appearances |
| Ty Jerome 6+ assists (over 5.5) |
−142 | 85.7% 6 of 7 Memphis wins |
63.2% 12 of 19 Memphis appearances |
| Jrue Holiday 3+ assists |
−344 | 93.1% 27 of 29 Portland losses |
91.9% 57 of 62 Portland appearances |
Jaylen Wells: eight points leaves room below his recent scoring
Wells to score 8+ points at −370 is an actual inclusive milestone, so exactly eight points meets the requirement. He reached it in 26 of 28 Memphis wins (92.9%), compared with 62 of 73 Memphis appearances overall (84.9%) in the matched sample.
He has started each of Memphis’ four games this season and scored 12, 17, 16 and 14 points. His latest fourteen came in 30 minutes at Utah; his current minutes have ranged from 25 to 33. Wells is expected to start at small forward against Portland. Those observations support his current participation and show why eight points is a different requirement from simply projecting another big scoring game.
The current over-11.5 points offer was −106, equivalent to at least twelve points in this whole-number statistic. It produced only 20 of 28 wins (71.4%) and 41 of 73 appearances overall (56.2%) in the same history. All four current-season games reached twelve, but the longer record does not support treating that higher threshold as interchangeable with eight. The greater room is what the shorter −370 price costs.
Two Memphis wins still missed eight points: Wells scored five in 27 minutes against Indiana and two in 22 minutes against Brooklyn. A regular role can produce a quiet scoring night, so the lower milestone is not a guarantee. This is the most expensive of the three options and is best evaluated on whether that extra room is worth its price to you.
Ty Jerome: six assists separates passing from the scoring total
Jerome over 5.5 assists at −142 requires six or more assists. He reached that mark in 6 of 7 Memphis wins (85.7%) and 12 of 19 Memphis appearances overall (63.2%). The historical difference is useful, but seven wins should not be treated as a settled description of his future output.
His four starts this season have produced six, five, seven and eight assists. That is three hits in four wins, or 75.0% for the current season. He played 32 minutes in each of the first three games and 30 in the latest win at Utah. Jerome is expected to start at point guard again; his eight-assist game came with only fifteen points, illustrating why the passing requirement can be considered separately from his scoring.
The one winning miss in the full sample was this season’s Golden State game, when he had five assists despite playing 32 minutes. The actual 5+ assists milestone at −273 would have retained that result: it occurred in 7 of 7 Memphis wins (100.0%) and 14 of 19 appearances overall (73.7%). The extra assist required by over 5.5 is therefore a real tradeoff for the larger return at −142, not a cosmetic line change.
The older Memphis appearances also came with different workloads: his three prior-season wins in this sample involved 20, 21 and 25 minutes, while his current starts have been longer. The comparison retains all those appearances rather than selecting only the current run. The seven-win perfect record at five assists remains limited evidence, and neither threshold establishes the chance that a Memphis win and the prop occur together.
Jrue Holiday: three assists can remain available in a Portland defeat
Holiday to record 3+ assists at −344 occurred in 27 of 29 Portland losses (93.1%), compared with 57 of 62 Portland appearances overall (91.9%). The rates are similar. The argument is that three assists has generally remained attainable in defeats, rather than that a Memphis win should cause Holiday to pass more effectively.
His present role needs its own check. Holiday has come off the bench in all three Portland games this season, recording one, eight and three assists in 21, 26 and 30 minutes. That is two hits in three appearances, or 66.7%, all in wins. The historical loss subset therefore supplies no current-season loss test of this bench rotation. His latest three assists against the Lakers met the selected milestone exactly, while the Phoenix opener missed it.
DraftKings’ over-3.5 assists offer was −138, requiring at least four. That higher mark occurred in 23 of 29 Portland losses (79.3%) and 49 of 62 appearances overall (79.0%). It would also have missed his latest three-assist game. Paying the shorter price for three preserves four additional losing appearances in the longer record, but the Phoenix game shows that even the lower requirement can be missed.
The two historical losing misses were both two-assist games: one against Denver in 25 minutes and another against Philadelphia in 24. Holiday is expected to remain a bench guard, so readers should weigh the current rotation more heavily than a near-perfect older loss percentage alone. This option allows an opposing player to contribute while you back Memphis; it does not require a quiet Portland attack.
Choose the contribution and price you want to back
Wells’ lower scoring mark has the deeper Memphis winning sample and the highest price. Jerome offers the larger return, with a smaller win sample and a recent five-assist miss to weigh. Holiday’s three-assist option has a longer Portland loss record, but little difference from his overall frequency and more uncertainty around his current bench usage.
Jerome and Wells share Memphis possessions, and Holiday’s production depends on the same game environment. Their individual rates are not independent and cannot be multiplied into a parlay probability. Recheck the exact thresholds, prices and participation before choosing. Follow the live Grizzlies–Trail Blazers matchup for updated context, or explore more NBA articles and parlay ideas. The quoted prices are individual snapshots, not a combined same-game price.
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