Nikola Jokic had ten assists in each of Denver’s first two wins. Jamal Murray scored 42 and 23 points in those games. If you’re backing the Nuggets at Phoenix on Friday, October 30, those performances give you a choice between following Jokic’s passing and buying a lower scoring target for Murray.
Dillon Brooks gives you an option on the other side: his scoring has often survived Suns defeats, without becoming more consistent in them. A Denver win is the starting scenario here, rather than a prediction. These are individually priced DraftKings offers, not a quoted combined parlay.
Three options around a Denver win
The history covers each player’s games for his current club from October 1, 2025 through the October 30 research cutoff, including playoffs. Jokic and Murray are measured in Denver wins, Brooks in Phoenix losses, with the same team, dates and participation rules used for each overall baseline. Historical hit rates describe those games, not tonight’s chances or a combined parlay probability.
| Player prop | Price | In the selected result | All club appearances |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic 8+ assists |
−293 | 85.1% 40 of 47 Denver wins |
81.3% 61 of 75 appearances |
| Jamal Murray 15+ points |
−670 | 92.3% 48 of 52 Denver wins |
88.2% 75 of 85 appearances |
| Dillon Brooks 12+ points |
−338 | 87.1% 27 of 31 Phoenix losses |
87.7% 57 of 65 appearances |
Nikola Jokic: 8+ assists at −293
Jokic didn’t need his longest recent night to reach double-digit assists in Denver’s latest win. He had ten in 34 minutes against New Orleans, alongside 21 points. His other winning appearance brought ten in 44 minutes, so the same passing return has come with quite different workloads.
His four current assist totals are five, ten, 11 and ten. The 11 came in the Golden State loss, showing why this can fit a Denver-win scenario without depending entirely on the result. The opener against Oklahoma City went the other way: five assists in 35 minutes, with 13 points on five-of-19 shooting.
All four appearances were starts. His 37.0-minute average is above the older sample’s 35.2, but the 44-minute game lifts it; his other three were 35, 35 and 34. There’s a substantial role to work with, while teammates still have to finish the chances he creates.
Seven assists at −497 buys more room than eight at −293. It reached in 42 of the 47 Denver wins in this history, compared with 40 for eight. Nine at −182 pays more, but reached in only 37 of those wins and 55 of 75 appearances overall. The three recent double-digit totals clear every choice; the longer record shows the cost of asking for one more assist.
His three earlier Phoenix meetings brought 15, ten and 17 assists in 32, 31 and 35 minutes. They’re useful matchup examples within the same history, with the current five-assist opener still the miss to weigh against them.
Jamal Murray: 15+ points at −670
With Murray, you’re paying for room below his last three scoring totals: 42, 19 and 23. The latest 23 against New Orleans came in 38 minutes on nine-of-19 shooting. Five of his makes were threes, accounting for 15 points, and he added none at the free-throw line. That was enough for this target, but it relied heavily on outside shots falling.
The opener is why minutes alone aren’t enough reassurance. He scored six in 37 minutes, making two of 11 shots and two free throws. He has started all four games and averaged 38.5 minutes, up from 35.7 in the older Denver appearances. The playing time gives him opportunities; it doesn’t remove shooting risk.
The 15-point offer has the strongest winning-game record in the table and the heaviest individual price. At 18 points, the price drops to −315; at 20, it’s −200. Both higher targets reached in 43 of 52 Denver wins, compared with 48 for 15. Across all appearances, 18 reached in 66 of 85 and 20 in 64. You’re paying considerably more at −670 for the extra scoring cushion.
His three earlier Phoenix meetings supplied 23, 24 and 21 points in 32, 37 and 38 minutes. All clear 15, but the price still asks you to risk a larger stake for the same potential profit. Those records help compare the requirements; they don’t establish a bargain at today’s odds.
Dillon Brooks: 12+ points at −338
A Denver win doesn’t require Brooks to have a poor scoring night. In Phoenix’s two losses this season, he finished with ten points in 27 minutes and 19 in 33. One missed this target and one cleared it, which is a useful way to look at an opposing player’s over without assuming a Suns defeat helps him score.
The table’s loss and overall rates are almost identical, with the losing-game figure slightly lower. His recent opportunities have also been fairly steady: 11, 12 and 14 field-goal attempts across three starts, producing ten, 15 and 19 points. His average of 31.3 minutes is close to 30.9 in the older Phoenix appearances.
The latest 19 against Oklahoma City included eight free throws despite four-of-14 shooting, with three made threes. That let him clear twelve on an inefficient night from the field. His ten-point opener came on four-of-11 shooting, so similar numbers of made field goals can still leave you with different scoring results.
Ten points at −592 would have covered 30 of the 31 Phoenix losses in this history, compared with 27 for twelve. Fifteen at −162 reached in 25 of those losses and 51 of 65 appearances overall. His two earlier Denver meetings brought 15 and 27 points in 31 and 28 minutes, but you don’t need him to repeat either total for the twelve-point offer.
Put a price on the extra room
If you prefer Murray’s scoring target, the question is how much you want to pay to stay below his recent totals. Jokic’s eight-assist offer asks for a different contribution at a lighter individual price. You can choose one without adding the other; if you combine them, some of Murray’s baskets could also be Jokic assists, so the bets share more than a game result.
Follow the live Nuggets–Suns matchup for the final lineup picture and current odds, or browse our NBA coverage for more matchup ideas.
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