Brandon Hagel had a point in every Lightning win this season, yet seven shots weren’t enough to get him on the scoresheet in Tampa Bay’s recent loss at Utah. That’s the choice behind these Lightning parlay picks: back Tampa Bay to win in Nashville, then decide whether you want a scorer to contribute or a defenseman to keep shooting.
Hagel and Nikita Kucherov offer two different prices for a point. On the other side, Roman Josi has kept reaching two shots in Predators losses. These Side & Support options start with a hypothetical Lightning win and give you individually priced props to compare alongside it.
Lightning parlay picks: points or a two-shot target
The records below cover completed games for each player’s current team from October 1, 2025 through October 30, 2026, with the same dates and participation rules for both columns. Tampa Bay players are measured in Lightning wins, Josi in Nashville losses. These are historical hit rates, not predictions or combined parlay odds. The individual DraftKings prices can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All current-team games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Hagel 1+ point |
−185 | 81.5% 44 of 54 Lightning wins |
61.1% 55 of 90 appearances |
| Nikita Kucherov 1+ point |
−350 | 86.4% 51 of 59 Lightning wins |
76.8% 73 of 95 appearances |
| Roman Josi 2+ shots on goal |
−245 | 81.0% 34 of 42 Predators losses |
80.2% 65 of 81 appearances |
Brandon Hagel: 1+ point at −185
Hagel is the lighter-priced way to ask a Lightning forward for a scoring contribution. A goal or an assist gets him there, and his eight-for-eight record in Tampa Bay wins this season gives that idea some recent support. The longer record is less consistent, as the table shows, but the difference between wins and all his appearances is much wider than it is for Josi’s shots.
His latest game brought a goal and two assists on five shots in the 6–4 win over Winnipeg. You only need one of those contributions for this line. He’s averaging about 21½ minutes this season, up from roughly 20 minutes in the older games, and is listed on the expected second line. He’s had enough involvement to make the target worth considering without needing a multi-point night.
Utah is the recent reminder that involvement doesn’t always turn into a point. Hagel took seven shots in 22:51, including nearly four minutes on the power play, and finished scoreless. Tampa Bay lost 5–4. That fits the win-versus-loss distinction behind this option, but it also shows how an active night can leave a point bet short.
Hagel also recorded a point in both Nashville meetings in this window, which Tampa Bay won. Those games add some matchup context; they’re already part of his winning-game record. At −185, you’re accepting a less consistent longer history than Kucherov’s in exchange for the larger individual payout.
Nikita Kucherov: 1+ point at −350
Kucherov has the more consistent point record in Lightning wins, and the heavier price means a much smaller individual payout. His expected first-line role and roughly 21 minutes a game this season give him plenty of chances to score or set someone up. This target also lets one assist do all the work.
That was enough in each of his last two appearances: an assist at Utah and another against Winnipeg. The two-point alternative was +125, but both of those one-point games would have missed it. If you’re choosing between the lines, the extra point is a substantial demand even when Tampa Bay’s offense is productive.
The Seattle game is the counterexample that matters most for this premise. Tampa Bay won 4–3, Kucherov took eight shots in 22:16, and he still had no points. He also spent 4:18 on the power play. A Lightning win can arrive without a scoring contribution from him, even when he’s heavily involved.
He’s had a point in seven of eight Tampa Bay wins this season. The Seattle miss keeps that recent record in perspective, while the longer history supplies more than a handful of games to judge. Compare his −350 with Hagel’s −185 as a choice about how much payout you want to give up for the steadier historical record.
Roman Josi: 2+ shots on goal at −245
A Tampa Bay win doesn’t require Nashville’s best-known defenseman to stop shooting. Josi gives you a way to support the Lightning side while allowing the Predators to create chances. Two shots has been almost as common across all his Nashville games as in losses, so the longer record is about a target that often survives a defeat, rather than a large jump when Nashville loses.
He had six shots in the latest loss to Washington. In the three losses before it, he finished with exactly two each time. That makes the choice between two and three shots particularly useful: the three-shot offer was +120, but it would have lost in those three games. At −245 for two, you’re paying for the room to stop there.
Josi is listed on the expected first defense pair and has averaged about 25 minutes this season. He’s reached two shots in eight of nine Predators losses this season. He also had four in the March meeting with Tampa Bay last season. A busy night on defense can still bring enough shooting opportunities to clear a modest target.
Ice time alone won’t do it, though. In an earlier loss this season, he played 26:33 and had an assist but only one shot on goal. His zero-shot game and another one-shot game came in Nashville wins. The line is asking for shots that reach the net, so he can contribute offensively and still miss it.
Decide what you need from Tampa Bay’s forwards
Hagel’s price is worth comparing with Kucherov’s before choosing a point scorer. If you’d rather leave room for Nashville to generate offense, Josi’s two-shot target can fit that view too. Hagel and Kucherov can share in the same scoring plays, and all three options come from one game; their separate records don’t give you a combined probability.
Check the current lines on the Lightning–Predators matchup page, or find more angles in our NHL coverage.
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