Tage Thompson helped Buffalo win in two very different ways this week: an assist in the shutout of San Jose, then three goals and two assists in the 7–6 win over Anaheim. A one-point target leaves room for either kind of contribution if you’re backing the Sabres in Los Angeles.
These Sabres parlay picks start with a hypothetical Buffalo win and compare Thompson to record a point with Alex Laferriere and Quinton Byfield to finish without an assist. The Kings options leave room for either player to score himself, while their substantial ice time and power-play opportunities make the passing risk clear.
Sabres parlay picks: a point or a passing restriction
The table covers completed current-club games from October 1, 2025 through October 30, 2026: Buffalo wins for Thompson and Los Angeles losses for Laferriere and Byfield. All-game records use the same club, dates and participation rules. These are historical hit rates, not today’s probabilities. Individual DraftKings prices can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All current-team games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson 1+ point |
−175 | 81.0% 51 of 63 Sabres wins |
64.5% 69 of 107 appearances |
| Alex Laferriere Under 0.5 assists |
−200 | 81.4% 48 of 59 Kings losses |
70.4% 69 of 98 appearances |
| Quinton Byfield Under 0.5 assists |
−215 | 80.4% 45 of 56 Kings losses |
72.0% 67 of 93 appearances |
Tage Thompson: 1+ point at −175
Thompson has recorded a point in all six Buffalo wins this season. His latest five-point night was far more than this line needed, and the preceding San Jose win showed the value of allowing an assist to do the job. He had six shots that night, but no goals.
He’s listed on Buffalo’s expected first line and is averaging about 19½ minutes, almost identical to his older Sabres games. That provides a fairly familiar workload behind the longer record. The point target gives him two routes to clear: finish a chance himself or help create a goal for somebody else.
There’s a useful comparison with his three-shot line at −190. In the Florida win earlier this month, Thompson had a goal and an assist on just one shot. The point target cleared comfortably while three shots would have missed. If your Buffalo-win view includes him creating goals through passing, one point can fit better than requiring a particular amount of shooting.
The earlier Kings meetings in this window weren’t a clean sweep. Thompson scored in the March Buffalo win, but finished without a point in the January victory despite five shots in 18:04 and four minutes on the power play. Buffalo winning can support this idea without guaranteeing his involvement on the scoresheet. The current six of six is stronger than the longer record in the table.
Alex Laferriere: under 0.5 assists at −200
Laferriere has finished without an assist in seven of the eight Kings losses this season. In the defeats against Florida and Boston, he scored a goal without recording an assist. That’s the room this line buys: a Los Angeles goal from him can still be compatible with the under.
His point under was −105, compared with −200 for no assists. The point bet offers a larger individual payout, but would have lost in both of those goal-only defeats. The assist bet costs more to leave that scoring route open.
He’s listed at center between Artemi Panarin and Adrian Kempe on the expected first line. His season average is about 19½ minutes, roughly a minute above the older Kings games. Those linemates and that workload give him plenty of opportunity to help create a goal.
The latest Ottawa game illustrates both sides of that opportunity. Laferriere played 22:18, including 6:25 on the power play, and took seven shots without recording a point as Los Angeles won 6–5. His activity didn’t require an assist that night, but it would be a mistake to treat him as a player with little involvement.
His current losing-game miss came against Colorado, with two assists in 15:31 and 3:06 on the power play. Even a shorter outing was enough. The seven recent losing-game clears sit alongside 11 assist-producing defeats in the full window, so the expected first-line role remains a meaningful risk.
Quinton Byfield: under 0.5 assists at −215
Byfield offers a similar restriction from the expected second line. He’s finished without an assist in six of the seven Kings losses he’s appeared in this season. The Chicago defeat brought six shots in 20:21, including 4:06 on the power play, but no points. He could be active as a shooter without setting up a goal.
The latest Ottawa win went the other way: a goal and an assist in 20:33, with 6:10 on the power play. His current losing-game miss was against San Jose, when he also had a goal and an assist, playing 22:40. Those are direct examples of the involvement that can beat this under.
His season average is below 19 minutes, but one appearance lasted only 2:44. The recent 20-minute outings are a better reminder of the opportunity this bet must survive. There’s no need to assume a light workload for the passing restriction to be the angle.
DraftKings had Byfield under 0.5 points at −115, versus −215 for no assists. An older Calgary defeat shows the difference especially clearly: Byfield scored both Kings goals in a 3–2 loss and had no assists. A no-point bet would have lost, while the assist under could have cleared despite that scoring.
If you’re choosing between the two Kings assist unders, Laferriere has the slightly lighter price and the expected first-line assignment. Byfield’s costs a little more and comes with substantial recent power-play time. Both have assist-producing losses in their history; neither requires a completely quiet scoring game.
Choose how you expect the game to develop
Thompson’s point line asks for a Buffalo scoring contribution through a goal or an assist. The Kings unders leave room for Laferriere or Byfield to score themselves while restricting their passing contribution. They offer different requirements alongside the same Sabres-win premise.
The two Kings options share much of the same game environment. Their records, and Thompson’s, aren’t independent probabilities to multiply into a parlay forecast. Compare current offers on the Sabres–Kings matchup page, or explore more angles in our NHL coverage.
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