Orlando’s two wins this season have produced very different nights from Franz Wagner on the boards: 13 rebounds in New York, five in Toronto. Another 13-rebound game would be welcome for Magic backers, but the five-board offer leaves room for something much less spectacular.
For these Magic parlay picks, take a hypothetical Orlando moneyline win, quoted at −142 by DraftKings, as the starting point for Monday’s 7:30 p.m. EST game at Kia Center. Wagner’s rebounds and Desmond Bane’s combined points and rebounds come from the Magic’s side; Tre Johnson’s six-point target leaves room for a Washington bench scorer in a defeat. The Side & Support comparison below shows how those choices have held up in Orlando wins and Wizards losses.
Magic parlay picks: compare the room each target gives you
These records cover appearances for each player’s current club from the start of the 2025–26 season through Sunday, including the playoffs. Each result-based record uses the same period and appearances as its all-game comparison. There are only two Magic wins this season, so the longer records provide context beyond those recent examples. Individual DraftKings prices are a November 2 morning snapshot and can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner 5+ rebounds |
−288 | 80.8% 21 of 26 Magic wins |
69.6% 32 of 46 appearances |
| Desmond Bane 20+ points and rebounds |
−368 | 86.3% 44 of 51 Magic wins |
74.2% 72 of 97 appearances |
| Tre Johnson 6+ points |
−284 | 92.0% 46 of 50 Wizards losses |
92.3% 60 of 65 appearances |
Franz Wagner: 5+ rebounds at −288
Wagner has collected at least five rebounds in five of his six appearances this season. That includes both Magic wins, but the difference between those two games matters. His 13 boards against New York were far more than this option asks for; his five in Friday’s win at Toronto were exactly enough.
DraftKings quotes six or more rebounds at −157, compared with −288 for five. Across the longer record, five cleared in 21 of Wagner’s 26 Orlando wins; six cleared in only 13. You’re paying considerably more to remove that sixth-rebound requirement. Friday’s game gives a recent example of why someone might choose the extra room.
The five-board option still has clear misses. Wagner had four rebounds in 34 minutes in the earlier loss at Toronto, his only miss this season. In the 127–103 win over Chicago on April 10, 2026, he scored 25 points but finished with two rebounds in 23 minutes. Strong scoring and an Orlando win haven’t always brought enough work on the boards.
Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out, and Wagner is expected to start at power forward. His recent minutes have been substantial, including 40 against Boston, when he grabbed six rebounds. That supports looking at his involvement, but it doesn’t make the older lineups identical to tonight’s or guarantee where missed shots will fall.
Wagner’s target costs less than Bane’s combined points and rebounds, though −288 still carries a heavy cost. Consider it if your Magic-win view includes Wagner staying active on the glass, without needing him to repeat that 13-rebound game.
Desmond Bane: 20+ points and rebounds at −368
Bane’s combined target gives his rebounds a chance to finish the job when his scoring falls just short of 20. Against Boston, he had 19 points and two rebounds, enough for a combined 21 despite the Magic losing. This option doesn’t need every point of production to come from a basket or free throw.
In Orlando’s two wins this season, the mix was different again: 22 points and six rebounds against New York, then 28 points and two rebounds at Toronto. Both cleared 20 comfortably. His broader record is stronger in Magic wins than across all his Orlando appearances, but the two recent wins are a small part of that history.
The cheaper alternative is 25 combined points and rebounds at −137. It cleared in 32 of those 51 wins, against 44 for the 20 target. Boston’s combined 21 illustrates the gap between the two offers, even though that game belongs to the broader record rather than the winning-game record.
At −368, the lower target is the most expensive option here. The question is whether adding two kinds of contribution, with more room than the 25 target, is worth that cost to you. The winning-game record helps explain the appeal; it doesn’t show that the price is a bargain.
There have been misses with plenty of playing time. Bane had nine points and three rebounds in 35 minutes when Orlando beat Brooklyn on January 7, 2026. More recently, he managed five points and two rebounds in 27 minutes in the loss to Minnesota. His latest winning-game miss was two points and one rebound in 17 minutes against Chicago on April 10, 2026. Playing time helps explain the opportunity; it doesn’t ensure the combined total.
Tre Johnson: 6+ points at −284
An Orlando win can leave room for Johnson to provide a little scoring off Washington’s bench. He scored 20 and seven points in the two Wizards losses he has appeared in this season. The seven-point game is especially relevant to the choice here: six would clear, while an eight-point requirement would not.
DraftKings quotes eight or more points at −148, compared with −284 for six. Across the longer record, six cleared in 46 of Johnson’s 50 Washington losses; eight cleared in 41. The lower target buys five additional clears over that period, at a much heavier price.
The losing-game rate is almost the same as his all-game rate, so this case doesn’t depend on a defeat improving his scoring. The idea is that a modest contribution has often survived a Washington loss. He’s reached six in four of his five appearances this season.
The recent workload is the main concern. Johnson didn’t play against Cleveland, then scored only four points in 13 minutes off the bench in Friday’s win over Charlotte. He’s outside the projected starting five for this matchup. A six-point request can still be too much when the chances are limited.
Nor do regular minutes settle it. Johnson scored three points on one-for-11 shooting in 23 minutes when Washington lost 136–131 to Orlando on March 12, 2026. That exception belongs beside the strong longer record: even a high-scoring game and a familiar opponent didn’t get him to six.
Pick the kind of room you want
Johnson’s headline percentage can be tempting, but his latest 13 minutes may matter more to your decision. If you prefer the Magic players’ current workloads, compare how much you’ll pay for Wagner’s one-rebound cushion or Bane’s two-stat total. You don’t have to include a bench scorer to make an Orlando-win view work.
You can choose one of these ideas without using all three. Wagner and Bane share a lineup, and separate historical records don’t establish a combined success probability or a sportsbook parlay price. Check the actual combined quote before adding any of them. Follow the live Wizards–Magic matchup, or explore more NBA parlay ideas.
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