Jaguars vs. Ravens: Jacksonville’s momentum meets a changing injury picture

Jacksonville heads to Baltimore after a 42–7 win, and the short week gives both teams little time to adjust to injuries. The Jaguars have new defensive losses and a running back coming off a breakthrough game who missed Monday’s walkthrough. Baltimore, meanwhile, is trying to steady an offense that lost two quarterbacks during Sunday’s defeat. Jacksonville’s task is to turn its stronger recent performance into another complete game while those personnel questions develop.

Lawrence and Tuten gave Jacksonville several ways to score

Trevor Lawrence threw three touchdown passes in Sunday’s win over Indianapolis, completing 10 of 14 attempts for 210 yards. Bhayshul Tuten ran for 104 yards and added 55 receiving yards, according to the AP report on the Colts game.

The Jaguars opened with a 98-yard touchdown drive and finished with 183 rushing yards. Rayuan Lane also returned an interception 92 yards for a touchdown, so the 42-point total included a major contribution from the defense.

Jacksonville had success on both sides of the ball against a Colts team in transition. Indianapolis had traded defensive tackle DeForest Buckner and guard Quenton Nelson five days before the game as it began rebuilding.

Our rushing projection puts Jacksonville at about 110 yards, down from Sunday’s 183. That makes sustaining Lawrence’s production and finding other contributions important if the ground game doesn’t deliver another big game.

In Monday’s injury updates, Tuten missed the walkthrough because of ankle and foot injuries. Chris Rodriguez Jr. was limited on Monday’s practice estimate with a hand injury, while receiver Jakobi Meyers was limited on the estimated report with hamstring and ankle issues. The next practice report will help show how much work those three can get in before Thursday.

Baltimore’s quarterback injuries change the immediate task

The Ravens lost 36–10 at Buffalo on Sunday, when Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley both left with injuries. Joe Fagnano finished the game and completed 10 of 21 passes for 91 yards with an interception in his NFL debut, per the AP report from Buffalo.

Coach Jesse Minter said Monday that Huntley probably won’t play Thursday because of his toe injury. He also said Fagnano has a chance to play against Jacksonville while dealing with injuries of his own. Baltimore’s starter for Thursday is still uncertain.

Baltimore managed 144 total yards at Buffalo, committed three turnovers and allowed four sacks. Derrick Henry scored its only touchdown. The Ravens have scored 10, 13 and 10 points during their three-game losing streak, putting basic offensive continuity at the center of their response.

For Baltimore, fewer lost possessions and a more functional passing game would help Henry’s contribution carry further. Sunday’s result showed how difficult it is to stay competitive when the offense can’t sustain enough production.

Jacksonville’s run defense faces a different test

The Jaguars held Jonathan Taylor to 23 yards on eight carries Sunday. But defensive tackle DaVon Hamilton will miss the rest of the season with a torn quadriceps, coach Liam Coen confirmed Monday. Safety Eric Murray is also out for the season with an elbow injury.

That changes the personnel available after an impressive defensive result. Henry gives Baltimore a focal point in the backfield, and Jacksonville now has to carry its defensive work into this matchup without Hamilton and Murray.

A large spread, with different routes to the total

The DraftKings spread makes Jacksonville a 10-point favorite. The Jaguars are 5–2 outright and 4–3 against the spread. Baltimore is 4–4 outright and 2–5–1 against the spread. The Ravens have failed to cover during all three losses in their current skid.

The total is 42.5. Jacksonville’s latest result shows how an efficient offense and a defensive touchdown can produce scoring quickly. Baltimore’s recent offensive struggles and its unsettled quarterback health pull the other way. With Hamilton and Murray out, holding Baltimore to a similarly low score could be a tougher job, especially if Henry keeps the Ravens on schedule.

Jacksonville has the clearer recent offensive foundation, led by Lawrence and Tuten’s productive Sunday. The main tests are Tuten’s preparation and how the defense handles its losses. Baltimore can keep the game competitive by protecting the ball and giving Henry enough sustained drives to make a difference. That would put more of the scoring burden on Lawrence and the Jacksonville offense.

We break down every matchup

Keep the NFL betting board handy for current odds, matchup projections and Premium sharp picks as Thursday approaches.

Odds and projections are snapshots and can change. Wagering involves risk.

FREE PREMIUM PREVIEW

Unlock our Premium picks. Free.

Get our sharpest picks, team grades, and projected score in your inbox.

Welcome back