Matthew Schaefer had an assist in both of New York’s recent wins over Nashville and Minnesota. Then came three straight Islanders losses, and he had just one assist across them.
If you’re backing the Islanders in San Jose, look at what Schaefer did in New York’s wins and how often Macklin Celebrini stayed under two points in Sharks losses. Those are two different ways to build around the same result.
Two Islanders parlay picks to compare
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini Under 1.5 points 2025–26 and 2026–27 regular seasons |
−190 | 85.2% 46 of 54 SJ losses |
62.6% 62 of 99 appearances |
| Matthew Schaefer Over 0.5 assists 2026–27 regular season |
−135 | 100.0% 7 of 7 NYI wins |
56.3% 9 of 16 appearances |
Macklin Celebrini — Under 1.5 points
Celebrini stayed below two points in 46 of 54 Sharks losses across the two regular seasons, compared with 62 of 99 appearances overall. This season, the under hit in eight of 11 Sharks losses. The Dallas game showed how this can go wrong: San Jose lost 4–3, and Celebrini still had three points. At −190, you’re paying a steeper price for him to finish with one point or fewer.
Matthew Schaefer — Over 0.5 assists
Seven wins is a small sample. Across this season and last, Schaefer had an assist in 25 of 50 Islanders wins. DraftKings priced an assist at −135 and a point at −220 in the same snapshot. The assist pays more, but a goal of his own won’t get you there.
Sharpest Bets Premium
Get our Islanders vs. Sharks picks.
Unlock our model's best bets for this matchup, plus projections, trends, and matchup analysis. Start with a free 7-day trial, then save 20% every month with code PARLAY20.
What to weigh with a New York win
If you want a New York player alongside the side, Schaefer’s assist is the better paying of the two Schaefer markets. If your read is that the Islanders can keep Celebrini quiet, his under is a way to play that view. You can choose either without needing both. Follow the live Islanders at Sharks matchup and our NHL coverage.
More picks to build around
Unlock our Premium picks. Free.
Get our sharpest picks, team grades, and projected score in your inbox.