Alex Caruso put up 11 points and rebounds in about 20 minutes against Cleveland, then did it again against Memphis. Oklahoma City won both games. It won again against Washington, but Caruso finished with just three combined in 13 minutes. That’s the tradeoff if you’re counting on the Thunder bench to chip in.
If you’re backing the Thunder in Portland, here’s how these Thunder parlay picks start: look at what Caruso and Ajay Mitchell did in Oklahoma City wins, then see where Damian Lillard and Scoot Henderson landed when Portland lost.
Thunder parlay picks to go with an Oklahoma City win
These are current-season appearances with each player’s club. Lillard and Henderson each played in just three Portland losses, so their unbeaten records at these lines cover a small sample.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Caruso Over 10.5 points and rebounds |
−106 | 85.7% 6 of 7 Thunder wins |
85.7% 6 of 7 appearances |
| Ajay Mitchell Under 1.5 made threes |
−234 | 87.5% 7 of 8 Thunder wins |
80.0% 8 of 10 appearances |
| Damian Lillard Under 22.5 points and rebounds |
−112 | 100.0% 3 of 3 Portland losses |
33.3% 3 of 9 appearances |
| Scoot Henderson Under 4.5 rebounds and assists |
+104 | 100.0% 3 of 3 Portland losses |
88.9% 8 of 9 appearances |
Alex Caruso: Over 10.5 points and rebounds
Caruso got to 11 with seven points and four boards against Cleveland, then got there with five points and six boards against Memphis. The scoring doesn’t need to carry this line every time. In those two games, the mix changed and the total stayed the same.
At −106, the combo is a way to follow his time with the second unit. He played just over 13 minutes against Washington and didn’t score, though. The Cleveland and Memphis games cleared by half a point, and all seven of his appearances came in wins. There’s no loss sample to tell us how much the result itself mattered.
Ajay Mitchell: Under 1.5 made threes
Mitchell scored 23 against Cleveland with one three and 12 against Washington without one. If you expect him to get his points inside the arc or at the line, you can still consider this under even if you like his overall scoring role.
The Memphis game is the one to keep in mind. He hit four threes in that win, and he also made two in one of Oklahoma City’s two losses. The price was −234, so you’re laying more than you would on any of the other three options for a line that loses with two makes.
Damian Lillard: Under 22.5 points and rebounds
Lillard scored 22 in 37 minutes in the Lakers loss and still stayed under because he didn’t grab a rebound. In the San Antonio loss he scored 12 in just under 20 minutes and again had no boards. The same result came from two very different workloads.
At −112, the under fits a Thunder-win read where Lillard’s scoring stays in check or he doesn’t add much on the glass. The Lakers game was close: one rebound would have put him over. And he cleared 22.5 in every Portland win, so this option asks for a stronger view of how the game plays out than Henderson’s does.
Scoot Henderson: Under 4.5 rebounds and assists
Henderson stayed at four or fewer in eight of nine appearances, including all three Portland losses. He had 13 points against San Antonio with two boards and one assist, which shows how he can still score without threatening this line.
The +104 under comes with a narrow margin. Henderson had two rebounds and three assists in just 17 minutes in Portland’s win over the Lakers. If you see him handling the ball more, that game is a reason to pause even if you think Oklahoma City wins.
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Which option fits your Thunder read?
If you expect Oklahoma City’s bench to do its share, Caruso is a way to follow that. If you see the Thunder keeping Lillard quiet, his under fits that read more directly. Henderson stayed under even in most Portland wins, so his line is more about how much he does on the glass and as a passer.
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