Kyle Kuzma scored 17 in Milwaukee’s win over Indiana. That’s his only Bucks win this season, so it helps to look further back before asking what a Milwaukee upset might mean for his points.
If you’re backing Milwaukee to pull the upset, these Bucks parlay picks look at two different things: how often Kuzma scored eight in Bucks wins and how Walker Kessler scored in the Lakers’ two losses with him this season.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma 8+ points Milwaukee appearances since 2024–25 |
−250 | 87.0% 47 of 54 Bucks wins |
80.5% 95 of 118 appearances |
| Walker Kessler Under 14.5 points This season with Los Angeles |
−120 | 100.0% 2 of 2 Lakers losses |
41.7% 5 of 12 appearances |
Kyle Kuzma to score 8+ points
Kuzma got his 17 against Indiana in 29 minutes. He went for 27 against Boston in a loss, too. Eight has been more common in Milwaukee wins since he joined the Bucks, but he’s had scoring nights either way.
At −250, those recent misses matter. Kuzma has reached eight in six of 11 games this season. Against New York he played 26 minutes and scored five, so even a regular shift can leave him short.
Walker Kessler under 14.5 points
Kessler scored 10 in 31 minutes against Golden State and 13 in 33 minutes against Portland, both Lakers losses. He still had 13 rebounds against Golden State, so a productive night on the glass can coexist with fewer than 15 points.
The two losses are a thin basis for the under at −120. Kessler scored 21 in the win over Atlanta and has reached 15 in seven of 12 Lakers appearances overall. Consider the under if your Milwaukee read also includes Kessler doing more of his work on the boards. The loss split alone is too small to carry it.
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Which prop fits a Milwaukee upset?
Kessler’s under pays more per dollar at these individual prices. It fits if you picture him getting his rebounds while the Lakers find points elsewhere. If your read is more about who scores for Milwaukee, Kuzma’s longer record gives you more games to go on at a steeper price.
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