Colorado’s recent wins over New Jersey and Calgary both left Nazem Kadri on exactly two shots. If you’re backing the Avalanche against Detroit, those games show why the two-shot milestone deserves a separate look from asking him to reach three.
For these Avalanche parlay picks, we compare Kadri’s shooting and Nathan MacKinnon’s points in Colorado wins with their full Colorado records. Viktor Arvidsson’s assist under adds a Detroit-loss comparison. The idea is to choose a contribution that fits your Colorado-win view, whether that’s shots, a point or an opposing player finishing without an assist.
Avalanche parlay picks: shots, a point and an assist under
MacKinnon and Kadri’s rows use Colorado regular-season appearances since October 1, 2025, including this season; Kadri’s 33-game Colorado sample begins in March. Arvidsson’s row covers his seventeen Detroit appearances this season, including ten losses. Individual DraftKings prices were captured on November 7 and can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | COL wins / DET losses | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri 2+ shots on goal |
−285 | 88.9% 16 of 18 COL wins · since March 2026 |
81.8% 27 of 33 appearances · since March 2026 |
| Nathan MacKinnon 1+ point |
−350 | 88.7% 55 of 62 COL wins · since Oct. 2025 |
75.3% 73 of 97 appearances · since Oct. 2025 |
| Viktor Arvidsson Under 0.5 assists |
−220 | 100.0% 10 of 10 DET losses · this season |
64.7% 11 of 17 appearances · this season |
Nazem Kadri 2+ shots on goal (−285)
The jump from two shots to three has mattered a lot for Kadri in Colorado wins. He took at least two shots in sixteen of eighteen wins in this Colorado sample, but reached three in seven. The higher target was +100, compared with −285 for two shots. The three-shot option would have missed nine wins covered by two shots. Across all 33 Colorado appearances in that same span, he reached two shots in 27 and three in 15.
The same difference shows up this season. Kadri reached two shots in eight of nine wins, but three in only four. Across all seventeen games this season, the records were fourteen with two shots and eight with three. His two-shot outings against New Jersey and Calgary were followed by four shots in the win over Chicago. He’s listed at center on Colorado’s expected third line, and his latest three against Nashville came in 16:04 despite finishing without a point.
A Colorado win still hasn’t guaranteed two shots. He scored on his only shot in the 6–3 win over Tampa Bay this season. An older scoreless, shotless outing against St. Louis came in just 6:09 of ice time. That short night is part of the record too.
Last spring’s playoffs were less consistent: Kadri had one, one and zero shots in the first three wins over Los Angeles, and zero in a playoff loss to Vegas. The regular-season pattern is useful, but the modest eighteen-win sample and those quiet nights are the tradeoff behind the lower shot target.
Nathan MacKinnon 1+ point (−350)
MacKinnon has recorded a point in all nine Colorado wins this season, compared with twelve of seventeen games overall. You don’t need another multi-point performance to use that pattern: a goal against New Jersey and an assist against Chicago each got him there in recent wins.
The two-point milestone was +120 and reached seven of those nine wins, compared with nine of seventeen games overall. In the longer Colorado regular-season record, one point covered 55 of 62 wins and two points covered 39 of 62. Across all games in that same span, the records were 73 of 97 for one point and 48 of 97 for two. The −350 price buys room for a single scoring contribution, which is the reason to consider it instead of chasing the larger payout.
His latest game is a reminder that the price doesn’t remove the risk. He played 24 minutes against Nashville and finished with one shot and no points. Last season, even eight shots in a 4–0 win over Columbus left him off the scoresheet. He also went without a point in two playoff wins over the Kings. Colorado can win while someone else supplies the scoring.
Viktor Arvidsson under 0.5 assists (−220)
Arvidsson has finished without an assist in all ten Detroit losses in this sample. That’s a useful distinction from his full Detroit record, but it’s still only seventeen games with the club. It’s a current-season angle, not a long-established Detroit trend.
The point under was +105, offering a larger payout but requiring him to go scoreless. It reached only seven of those ten losses and eight of seventeen Detroit games overall. Arvidsson scored without an assist in the loss to Winnipeg and in both losses to Seattle, so the assist under lets him finish a chance himself without losing the prop.
He’s expected on Detroit’s first line, and his recent play doesn’t suggest he’ll be uninvolved. He had an assist in the 5–3 win over Florida, then four shots without a point in the latest loss to Vegas. The case is that his passing hasn’t produced assists in Detroit losses so far; a busy night or a Red Wings goal remains entirely possible.
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Choose how to support a Colorado win
Kadri’s two-shot option is worth considering if you prefer a contribution that doesn’t need a goal to follow. MacKinnon’s point asks for that scoring connection and carries the larger Colorado sample. You can choose between them without adding both simply because they’ve appeared often in Avalanche wins.
Arvidsson’s assist under gives you a different route if you want to limit his passing contributions while still leaving room for him to score. These are individual options; their separate records don’t establish a combined parlay probability.
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