Devon Toews had a goal and an assist in Colorado’s win over Toronto. If you’re backing the Avalanche in Ottawa, compare how often Toews got on the scoresheet in Colorado wins with how often Dylan Cozens went without a point in Ottawa losses. Those splits put two different parts of a Colorado win in focus: scoring from the blue line and keeping Ottawa’s top line quiet.
Player props to compare for an Avalanche win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Toews Over 0.5 points |
+145 | 81.8% 9 of 11 Colorado wins |
63.2% 12 of 19 appearances |
| Dylan Cozens Under 0.5 points |
−110 | 87.5% 7 of 8 Ottawa losses |
68.4% 13 of 19 appearances |
Devon Toews over 0.5 points
Toews recorded a point in nine of 11 Colorado wins this season. He scored twice in one win over Calgary and had two assists in another. The +145 over gives him both ways to get there if you expect Colorado to create offense through its defensemen.
He went without a point in wins over St. Louis and Pittsburgh. Across the past two regular seasons, he had a point in 25 of 60 Colorado wins and 32 of 87 appearances overall. That longer record puts his recent scoring run in perspective.
Dylan Cozens under 0.5 points
Cozens went without a point in seven of eight Ottawa losses this season. DraftKings had the points under at −110 and the assists under at −230. Both landed in seven of those losses, and the points under paid more at those prices. The tradeoff is that a goal without an assist beats the points under and leaves the assists under intact.
His exception was a three-point night against Los Angeles, with two goals and an assist. Across the past two regular seasons, he went without a point in 29 of 46 Ottawa losses and 53 of 101 appearances overall. That leaves room for Cozens to produce in a Colorado win, especially from his projected spot on Ottawa’s top line.
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Which prop fits the way you see Colorado winning?
Toews at plus money fits if you see Colorado getting its defensemen involved in the scoring. The Cozens under fits a game where Colorado limits Ottawa’s first line. If you expect both teams to generate chances, Toews can get his point even on a productive night for Cozens.
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