Zach Werenski assisted on two goals in Columbus’ latest win, while Matthew Knies finished that same game with just one shot on goal. That split is useful for anyone building around a Blue Jackets upset: a strong team result can support a scoring option without bringing every player’s shot total along with it.
If you’re backing Columbus at Carolina, these Blue Jackets parlay picks compare Werenski’s point market and Knies’ shots with an assist under on Hurricanes winger Jackson Blake. Start with your view that Columbus wins, then choose the individual requirement that fits it.
Werenski’s 1+ point has the deepest scoring record of the three options below. Knies’ 2+ shots offers a plus-money alternative with only five Columbus wins behind its conditional record. On the other side, Jackson Blake under 0.5 assists leaves room for him to score a goal while still fitting a Carolina loss. Each offers a different way to express the scenario; their historical rates are individual observations, not a combined parlay probability.
Supporting props for a Blue Jackets win
Werenski’s and Blake’s records cover last season and this one with their current clubs. Knies’ Columbus history is this season only: ten appearances and five wins, so his 80.0% record deserves substantially less weight than Werenski’s longer history. The result column means a Columbus win for Werenski and Knies, and a Carolina loss for Blake.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Werenski 1+ point |
−175 | 87.2% 34 of 39 Columbus wins |
63.5% 54 of 85 Columbus appearances |
| Matthew Knies 2+ shots on goal |
+120 | 80.0% 4 of 5 Columbus wins |
50.0% 5 of 10 Columbus appearances |
| Jackson Blake Under 0.5 assists |
−170 | 80.6% 29 of 36 Carolina losses |
59.6% 68 of 114 Carolina appearances |
These individual DraftKings prices are snapshots and can change. The milestones require at least the displayed total; Blake’s under requires zero assists.
Zach Werenski: 1+ point at −175
Werenski recorded a goal or assist in 34 of 39 Columbus wins (87.2%), compared with 54 of 85 Columbus appearances (63.5%) across the full matched window. That is the clearest combination here of a sizeable conditional sample and a higher frequency alongside the selected team result.
The current season provides a smaller but similar comparison: a point in four of five wins and six of ten games overall. His latest contribution was two assists in Tuesday’s 4–3 win at Philadelphia, with 28:09 of ice time. The current expected lineup lists him on the first defense pair, with substantial recent ice time. The workload supports treating him as an active contributor rather than relying only on last season’s results.
The recent miss matters just as much. Werenski had no point in the 2–1 win over Vegas on October 24 despite playing 28:15 and taking three shots. He also went pointless in the preceding loss to Toronto, even with nine shots. Those games show why a heavy workload does not make a point automatic. Five wins in the longer conditional sample finished without a Werenski point, including the Vegas game.
The actual 1+ point milestone was −175, while a separate over-0.5 points offer was −180. Both ask for a recorded goal or assist, but the table uses the freshly verified milestone price. This is the more established scoring option for the Columbus premise; its historical improvement does not by itself prove that today’s price offers value.
Matthew Knies: 2+ shots on goal at +120
Knies reached two shots in four of five Columbus wins (80.0%), versus five of ten appearances (50.0%) overall. The price gives this option a different character from Werenski’s, but its evidence is much thinner. These are his Columbus games only; importing an older Toronto record would change the team context behind the comparison.
His shot totals in those five wins were four, three, two, two and one. The last of those came in the latest win at Philadelphia, where he played 16:18 and supplied an assist. That is a direct warning against assuming a Columbus victory brings this shot threshold with it. He had two shots in 19:09 against Vegas and three in 18:36 in the preceding loss to Toronto, so the recent record contains both a winning miss and a losing hit.
He is listed on the expected second line at left wing, but that regular role does not enlarge the five-win sample. A goal or assist is also a different question: Knies registered a point in only two of those five wins. The attraction here is the modest shot threshold at +120, not a claim that his scoring has become reliable.
DraftKings also offered 1+ shot at −350. That lower threshold hit in all five wins and nine of ten Columbus games, but requires paying a much shorter price for one fewer shot. Readers willing to accept the small sample can compare those requirements; the 2+ version is the more speculative choice, especially after Tuesday’s one-shot result.
Jackson Blake: under 0.5 assists at −170
Blake finished without an assist in 29 of 36 Carolina losses (80.6%), compared with 68 of 114 Carolina appearances (59.6%) overall. The current-season split is three of four losses and six of fourteen games. That recent conditional sample is small and below the longer-window rate, so the older record should not be read as a current 80%-plus forecast.
His recent games explain why the assist market is worth separating from total points. Blake scored a goal without an assist in the shootout loss at Edmonton and did the same in the latest win over Boston. His ice time in those games was 17:36 and 16:47. A goal would not defeat this under; a single assist would. He is listed on the expected second line at right wing.
There is meaningful evidence against the under, too. Blake had three assists in the win at Vancouver and one against St. Louis, both within his last four appearances. Seven losses in the longer window included an assist, with the latest such miss on October 2 this season. The bet therefore depends on a specific part of his production, not on Carolina or Blake becoming harmless offensively.
Logan Stankoven’s assist under was another qualifying comparison, at 29 of 36 losses against 86 of 114 games overall, but its −255 price asked more for a much smaller separation from baseline. Blake’s −170 quote and larger historical difference make his assist under the more useful comparison here. Adding both would also repeat exposure to the same Carolina result and shared offense.
Choose the requirement that fits your Columbus view
Werenski offers the strongest established scoring connection to Columbus wins, with the recent Vegas miss keeping the limit visible. Knies exchanges that depth of evidence for a plus-money shot threshold, and his latest winning miss makes him a lower-confidence option. Blake supplies an opposing-team assist under that can survive one of his goals, though his recent multi-assist game is a clear risk.
These options are a menu for comparing requirements, not an instruction to combine all three. They share the same game and can interact; multiplying their historical rates would not establish a joint chance of success. Check the current prices, confirmed participation and your sportsbook’s available combinations before deciding whether any addition improves the wager you actually want.
Follow the live Blue Jackets–Hurricanes matchup for updated game information, or browse the latest NHL articles for more game context.
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