David Pastrnak left Carolina with an assist even though Boston lost 2–1. That is a useful starting point for Bruins parlay picks against St. Louis: a Boston win and a productive Pastrnak night are related ideas, but his individual contribution can survive a losing result too. His actual 1+ point offer provides a different route from asking him for another multi-point performance.
If you’re backing Boston in St. Louis, this edition starts with a hypothetical Bruins win and compares three supporting player props. Pastrnak’s point is the direct scoring choice; the Blues options ask for shooting activity or a more specific limit on playmaking.
The choices cover different parts of that scenario: Pastrnak contributing a point, Mason McTavish maintaining some shooting volume in a Blues defeat, and Pavel Buchnevich finishing without an assist. They are alternatives to evaluate individually or use in your own combination, with different prices and evidence behind each.
Three player props to consider with a Boston win
Individual DraftKings prices are snapshots and can change. Pastrnak and Buchnevich use their current-club appearances from the 2025–26 and 2026–27 seasons through October 27; McTavish’s St. Louis record consists of this season’s 12 appearances. Each all-game comparison covers the same period and club. McTavish’s seven-loss sample deserves less weight than the longer records alongside it.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak 1+ point |
−270 | 81.1% 43 of 53 Boston wins |
72.9% 70 of 96 Boston appearances |
| Mason McTavish 2+ shots on goal |
−230 | 85.7% 6 of 7 St. Louis losses |
83.3% 10 of 12 St. Louis appearances |
| Pavel Buchnevich Under 0.5 assists |
−310 | 80.4% 41 of 51 St. Louis losses |
71.7% 66 of 92 St. Louis appearances |
David Pastrnak: one contribution, with room for either route
Pastrnak to record 1+ point at −270 means at least one goal or assist. He reached that threshold in 43 of 53 Boston wins (81.1%), compared with 70 of 96 Boston appearances overall (72.9%) across the two-season sample. The winning record is stronger, with a short price for the one-point requirement.
The current season provides encouraging support: Pastrnak has a point in 8 of 9 Bruins wins (88.9%) and 9 of 13 appearances overall (69.2%). His latest three games brought four points against Nashville, a goal against San Jose and the assist at Carolina. He played 22:39 in that most recent game and is expected on Boston’s first line. Those observations make the one-point requirement a more useful expression of his contribution than simply chasing the biggest recent total.
The price comparison matters. DraftKings’ over-1.5 points offer was +165, but Pastrnak produced two or more points in only 26 of 53 Boston wins (49.1%) and 36 of 96 appearances overall (37.5%) in the same history. The larger potential return comes with a substantially higher requirement. His one-point games against San Jose and Carolina illustrate exactly what the 1+ option preserves.
Even the lower threshold has failed in ten wins across the full sample. This season’s exception was Boston’s 3–0 win over the Rangers, when he had four shots but no point in 17:32. A winning team can get its scoring elsewhere. The −270 quote buys a lower requirement, not certainty or proof that today’s price offers an edge.
Mason McTavish: two shots can fit a Blues loss
McTavish to record 2+ shots on goal at −230 asks for activity rather than a goal or assist. He reached two shots in 6 of 7 St. Louis losses (85.7%) and 10 of 12 St. Louis appearances overall (83.3%). The conditional rate is only slightly higher; the case is that the threshold has remained attainable in defeats, with a small sample attached.
His latest game offers a clear example. McTavish put five shots on goal in 17:57 against Montreal, even though the Blues lost 2–0. He is expected to center the second line. Two shots can therefore make sense for a reader backing Boston without also requiring St. Louis to finish its chances.
The counterexample is just as relevant: the previous game was a 4–0 loss to Carolina in which McTavish recorded zero shots in 17:08. That is the sole miss among his seven Blues defeats. A shutout does not establish that his shot volume will hold up, and one busy game after that miss does not remove the risk.
Moving to over 2.5 shots would have paid +120 in this snapshot. But the three-shot requirement occurred in 4 of 7 Blues losses (57.1%) and 7 of 12 appearances overall (58.3%). Two losing games finished on exactly two shots. The actual 2+ milestone keeps those results; it is an inclusive threshold, not a strict over-2.0 line. The −230 price is the tradeoff for that extra room.
Pavel Buchnevich: an assist under that still allows a goal
Buchnevich under 0.5 assists at −310 means zero recorded assists. That occurred in 41 of 51 St. Louis losses (80.4%), compared with 66 of 92 Blues appearances overall (71.7%). The difference from his overall record is useful, while the short return still deserves scrutiny.
This season he has finished without an assist in 5 of 6 Blues losses (83.3%) and 9 of 11 appearances overall (81.8%). The recent pattern is not confined to losing games: he scored a goal without an assist in the 6–2 win over Vegas, then had no assist in either of the next two shutout defeats. He played 21:57 against Montreal and is expected on St. Louis’s second line. This is a bet against an assist, not against him having an offensive role.
The less expensive under-0.5 points offer was −160. It would also fail if Buchnevich scored a goal, and it occurred in only 34 of 51 Blues losses (66.7%) and 50 of 92 appearances overall (54.3%) in the same history. His Vegas goal shows why the two markets should not be treated as interchangeable.
The assist under has still failed in ten defeats, including this season’s 4–2 loss at Chicago, when Buchnevich had an assist in 17:43. St. Louis scoring has recently been scarce, but an opponent can contribute an assist in a loss to Boston. At −310 this is the most expensive of the three options; readers who prefer more return can reasonably pass rather than replace it with a points under that the broader record does not support at the same frequency.
Choose the requirement that fits your Boston view
Pastrnak’s point is the clearest direct connection to Boston’s attack. McTavish’s shots offer an opponent-volume route with a shorter record, while Buchnevich’s assist under expresses a more specific limit on St. Louis scoring involvement. McTavish and Buchnevich are expected on the same line, so their outcomes can be related; none of these historical rates should be multiplied into a parlay probability.
Recheck the exact market, current price and participation before choosing. Expected lines can change, and the individual quotes above are snapshots rather than a combined same-game price. Follow the live Bruins–Blues matchup for updated context, or explore more NHL articles and parlay ideas.
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