Washington scored four straight goals the last time it hosted New Jersey. Alex Tuch helped set up one of them, and Cole Hutson put two shots on net. If you’re backing the Capitals in the rematch, those props let you weigh where you expect the offense to come from.
Jack Hughes’ points under gives you a way to look at the same Washington win from the other end of the ice. He can get on the scoresheet and still stay under two points.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch Over 0.5 points |
+100 | 80.0% 8 of 10 Capitals wins |
47.1% 8 of 17 Capitals games |
| Cole Hutson Over 1.5 shots on goal |
−125 | 80.0% 8 of 10 Capitals wins |
64.7% 11 of 17 Capitals games |
| Jack Hughes Under 1.5 points |
−205 | 81.8% 27 of 33 Devils losses |
59.3% 48 of 81 Devils games |
Alex Tuch to record a point
Tuch’s best route here might be as a passer. In the October home win against New Jersey, he set up Dylan Strome for the goal that made it 3–1. He can finish the play himself too, as he did twice in the win over Philadelphia.
All eight of Tuch’s games with a point this season came in Washington wins. Thursday showed how quickly that can go the other way. He played more than 18 minutes and missed the net four times without putting a shot on goal. At even money, I’d want to see a path for Strome’s line to spend more of its shifts inside the Devils’ zone.
Cole Hutson to put two shots on goal
Hutson put three on net even in Thursday’s loss, and his overtime winner in Ottawa showed what he can do from above the circle when there’s traffic in front. If Washington can keep shifts alive in the offensive zone, Hutson can reach two without needing one of his shots to go in.
Half of the eight hits in Capitals wins landed on exactly two. That’s why I’d stick with this threshold if you expect a tight rematch. Extending the sample back to his first NHL season also softens the trend. Hutson recorded two or more shots in five of 10 Washington wins he played in last season.
Jack Hughes under 1.5 points
Hughes put four shots on goal in the October game in Washington, but the Capitals blocked five more of his attempts and kept him off the scoresheet. The under fits if you expect Washington to clog the middle and make the Devils convert from the outside. Even Thursday’s empty-net goal left Hughes with one point.
There’s little room for a second scoring play once Hughes has a point. He had two assists in the win at Toronto, and he played over four minutes on the power play against Washington on Thursday. If you expect the Capitals to spend much time shorthanded, I’d look to one of their own skaters instead.
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Which prop fits a Capitals win?
I’d lean toward Tuch if you expect Strome’s line to break through at five-on-five. Hutson is the better fit if you expect Washington to spend time in the Devils’ zone but have less conviction about who finishes. Hughes’ under suits a game you expect Washington to win by limiting New Jersey’s top line.
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