Ryan Leonard put four shots on goal against Philadelphia and three against Minnesota. He went without a point in both games, but he still did enough for his shots prop to hit.
DraftKings listed Washington at −112 against Dallas. If you’re backing the Capitals, compare at least two shots from Leonard with a night without a point for Stars defenseman Thomas Harley.
Compare Leonard’s shots over and Harley’s point under
Leonard needs two shots on goal. A goal or an assist beats Harley’s under. The table uses each player’s appearances with his current club across this season and last.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Leonard Over 1.5 shots on goal 2025–26 and 2026–27 Washington appearances |
−170 | 81.6% (40/49) Capitals wins |
72.7% (64/88) |
| Thomas Harley Under 0.5 points 2025–26 and 2026–27 Dallas appearances |
−185 | 87.2% (34/39) Stars losses |
61.1% (55/90) |
Ryan Leonard over 1.5 shots on goal (−170)
Leonard reached at least two shots in 40 of 49 Washington wins and 64 of 88 appearances overall. He’s cleared the line in all 13 appearances this season, including eight wins. The longer record includes a Washington win over Montreal in which he finished without a shot.
Leonard is projected to skate on the fourth line. He still had three shots against Minnesota, and the line can clear even when his chances produce no points. If his minutes fall, he has fewer shifts to get the two attempts he needs on net.
Thomas Harley under 0.5 points (−185)
Harley went without a point in 34 of 39 Dallas losses and 55 of 90 appearances overall. He’s gone scoreless in all six Dallas losses this season and eight of 14 appearances overall. He recorded a point against Columbus in Dallas’ latest win.
Harley is projected to pair with Nils Lundkvist. The under can hold even if Dallas scores, provided Harley has no goal or assist. He had two points in a Dallas loss to New Jersey in the longer sample, so a Capitals win can still go against this prop.
Choose the part of a Washington win you want to follow
Leonard’s over depends on his own shot volume and comes at the lower individual price. Harley’s under fits a view that Washington keeps him off the scoresheet. If you think Leonard will get his chances even in limited minutes, his shots are the cheaper option. If you expect Dallas’s scoring to come through other players, Harley’s under fits that view.
Follow the live Stars–Capitals matchup or browse the NHL article archive.
Unlock our Premium picks. Free.
Get our sharpest picks, team grades, and projected score in your inbox.


