A big day for Jaxon Smith-Njigba hasn’t always saved Seattle. He’s reached 100 receiving yards in each of the Seahawks’ seven losses across the 2025 and 2026 regular seasons, including all four this year. If you’re backing an Arizona upset, he’s an opposing player you can still consider rather than assuming every Seahawk has to struggle.
Trey McBride supplies the Arizona option in these Cardinals parlay picks. Side & Support Parlay Plays compares his receiving yards in Cardinals wins and Smith-Njigba’s yards in Seahawks losses with their records across all results. Both teams are making quarterback changes this week, so the recent evidence matters as much as the longer records.
Cardinals parlay picks for an Arizona win
These are current-club records from the 2025 and 2026 regular seasons. Six Arizona wins and seven Seattle losses are small samples, with this year’s results and the quarterback changes discussed below. Individual DraftKings prices were captured Sunday morning and can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All appearances |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 100+ receiving yards |
+106 | 100.0% 7 of 7 SEA losses 2025–26 regular season |
64.0% 16 of 25 appearances 2025–26 regular season |
| Trey McBride 50+ receiving yards |
−193 | 100.0% 6 of 6 ARI wins 2025–26 regular season |
80.0% 20 of 25 appearances 2025–26 regular season |
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 100+ receiving yards
Smith-Njigba has kept piling up yards through Seattle’s losses this season: 128 against Washington, 102 against San Francisco, 134 against Denver and 118 against Chicago. His three losing games last year brought 124, 132 and 105. The point is that Seattle has lost even when its leading receiver has done plenty.
The 100+ offer was +106. DraftKings also offered over 93.5 yards at −114, which reached the same seven losses but covered eighteen of twenty-five appearances overall, compared with sixteen at 100 yards. Both of those extra games were 96-yard performances in Seattle wins last year. Moving to 100 asks for a little more yardage in exchange for the larger payout; the identical losing-game record doesn’t prove that the higher target is better value.
Going higher again makes a clearer dent in that record. At 110+ for +146, the 102-yard loss to San Francisco this season and the 105-yard loss to the Rams last year would fall short. That leaves five of seven losses and thirteen of twenty-five appearances overall. His only regular-season miss at 100 this year was 76 yards in a win over the Chargers.
Drew Lock is set to start with Sam Darnold out. Lock has been cleared without a game designation after limited practices for his elbow, and Rashid Shaheed is also out. There is some recent history to work with: Smith-Njigba finished with 122 yards against New England and 155 against Arizona in the two earlier games in which Lock appeared this season. Those are full-game receiving totals, and Lock made one start across those appearances.
The earlier Arizona meeting was a 31–7 Seattle win, so Smith-Njigba’s 155 yards weren’t evidence of an upset then. His playoff wins also show the range: 19 yards against San Francisco, 153 against the Rams and 27 against New England in the Super Bowl. Those are separate from the regular-season table. This option leaves room for Seattle’s top receiver to produce while the Cardinals find a way to win elsewhere.
Trey McBride: 50+ receiving yards
McBride’s three Arizona wins this season have brought 95 yards against the Chargers, 53 against the Rams and 72 against Dallas. Fifty yards keeps all three, as well as his three winning appearances last year. It’s a contribution Arizona has often received from its top tight end, without asking for his highest receiving line.
The choice between 50 and 60 yards has mattered in actual Cardinals wins. McBride’s 53 against the Rams this year and 55 against Dallas last year would miss 60. The 50+ price was −193, compared with −122 for 60+, so keeping those games costs some payout. Sixty yards reached four of the six wins and sixteen of twenty-five appearances overall, compared with twenty at 50 yards. Dropping to 40+ costs −326 and adds no further winning-game hit across these two regular seasons, though it covers twenty-three of twenty-five appearances overall.
The first Seattle matchup is the useful reminder that catches alone won’t get him there. McBride caught eight of ten targets for 41 yards in Arizona’s 31–7 loss. He also finished with 31 yards against the Giants this season. A busy day can still bring too little yardage for this bet.
Arizona is now turning to Gardner Minshew II, who replaced Jacoby Brissett during the overtime win at Dallas. Minshew completed 17 of 23 passes for 188 yards and three touchdowns in relief and has been named the starter. McBride finished that game with seven catches on eight targets for 72 yards; those are his totals for the whole game, not a claim that all of them came from Minshew.
That comeback offers a recent example with the new quarterback involved. It is also the only time Minshew has thrown a pass for Arizona this season. Kendrick Bourne is also on injured reserve, leaving a changed receiving group. Keep the six-win record in that context: it supports the 50-yard comparison without telling you exactly how Minshew will distribute Sunday’s passes.
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Decide how much receiving production to ask for
McBride’s 50 yards suit a view in which Arizona gets a useful tight end contribution without needing 60. Smith-Njigba’s century is the more demanding target, with a plus price and room for Seattle to lose despite his yards. You can choose the side of the matchup that fits your upset view without taking both. Their separate team records don’t establish a combined success rate or a quoted same-game parlay price.
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