The Islanders scored three times in the first period of the October meeting and held Anaheim to 17 shots. If you’re backing the Ducks in the rematch, Jackson LaCombe’s point prop fits a game where they spend more time in the offensive zone and make their power play count.
Simon Holmstrom’s points under fits a Ducks win built on keeping the Islanders away from the crease. He scored there on a tip in the first meeting, and he’s been held off the scoresheet more often in New York losses this season.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson LaCombe Over 0.5 points |
−155 | 100.0% 10 of 10 Ducks wins |
84.2% 16 of 19 Ducks games |
| Simon Holmstrom Under 0.5 points |
−135 | 80.0% 8 of 10 Islanders losses |
55.6% 10 of 18 Islanders games |
Jackson LaCombe to record a point
LaCombe helped set up power-play goals by both Mikael Granlund and Cutter Gauthier in the 5–2 win over Pittsburgh. He can pick up a point with a pass that starts the play, which gives him several ways to be involved if the Islanders take penalties.
Eight of LaCombe’s ten hits in Anaheim wins ended at exactly one point. He also went scoreless in nearly 30 minutes against Nashville on Wednesday. If you expect the Islanders to keep the game mostly at five-on-five, LaCombe will need Anaheim’s forwards to finish the chances he helps create at even strength.
Simon Holmstrom under 0.5 points
In the Islanders’ October win over Anaheim, Holmstrom redirected a Matthew Schaefer point shot on the power play. He also turned a loose puck into a goal from the slot against the Kings on Thursday. If Anaheim can clear pucks and bodies from the front of the net, it takes away two routes Holmstrom has used recently.
The under can miss even when the Islanders lose. In Monday’s shootout loss to San Jose, Holmstrom found Ben Hutton coming down to the back post for a goal. I’d lean toward this under if you expect the Ducks to keep their coverage intact when Islanders defensemen join the play.
Sharpest Bets Premium
Get our Islanders vs. Ducks picks.
See our model's picks for this game, plus the projections and trends behind them. Use PARLAY20 for 20% off Premium Monthly. New members who qualify get 3 days free.
Which prop fits a Ducks win?
LaCombe is where I’d start if you expect Anaheim’s power play to get several chances. Holmstrom’s under fits a tighter game in which Anaheim wins by clearing the crease and cutting off passes through the slot.
Follow the live Ducks–Islanders matchup or browse our latest NHL articles.
More picks to build around
Unlock our Premium picks. Free.
Get our sharpest picks, team grades, and projected score in your inbox.