Philadelphia’s 24–22 win over Washington on September 13 included four catches apiece for Stefon Diggs and Antonio Williams. That result is a useful reference for this rematch: an Eagles win can leave room for both Washington receivers to reach modest catch totals. Tonight’s options ask for four from Diggs and three from Williams.
These Eagles parlay picks use a hypothetical Philadelphia moneyline win, quoted at +225 by DraftKings at 8:23 a.m. EST on November 1. Philadelphia visits Northwest Stadium on Sunday, November 1, at 8:20 p.m. EST, with a 2–5 record against Washington’s 1–4–1. The catch targets below are individual choices around that win premise, with their prices and limits considered separately.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs 4+ receptions This season |
−179 | 100.0% 4 of 4 WSH losses |
100.0% 5 of 5 appearances |
| Antonio Williams 3+ receptions This season |
−191 | 100.0% 4 of 4 WSH losses |
83.3% 5 of 6 appearances |
The table covers this season’s Washington games in which each receiver had at least one target. Diggs has five such appearances and Williams six. The result column uses Washington losses; the all-game column also includes other results, including Washington’s tie for Williams. These small samples describe what happened, not the chance that either prop or a combined parlay will win.
Stefon Diggs 4+ receptions (−179)
Diggs has caught at least four passes in all four Washington losses in his targeted-appearance record and all five appearances overall. His catch totals in those losses were four against Philadelphia, five against Dallas, five against Indianapolis and six against San Francisco. The same four-catch target also cleared in Washington’s 33–31 win over Seattle, when he caught four of seven targets for 33 yards.
That winning example is an important part of the comparison. Four catches has been common in this small Washington record, rather than something that needs a Commanders loss. If your Eagles-win view still allows Washington to complete short passes and sustain some drives, this floor can fit that view without requiring Diggs to turn those catches into a large yardage total.
The prices show why four is the target here. Three or more receptions at −452 cleared the same four losses and all five appearances. Dropping one catch buys more room for tonight, but it doesn’t retain an additional game in the record we’re comparing. At the other end, five or more at +124 cleared three of four losses and three of five appearances overall. It would have missed the earlier Philadelphia meeting, when Diggs caught four of nine targets for 55 yards.
The yardage alternative asks for a different kind of production. 30+ receiving yards at −227 also cleared all four losses and all five appearances. The four-catch option carries a lighter price for the same observed clears. That doesn’t mean either target guarantees the other: his Indianapolis line was five catches for 35 yards, while the Philadelphia line produced 55 yards from four catches. Catch volume and yards per catch are different requirements.
His latest appearance was the 23–17 loss to San Francisco, with six catches for 44 yards on seven targets. That offers more catch-count margin than the earlier Eagles game, but neither line promises the next one. One fewer completion to Diggs in September would have turned a four-catch clear into a miss despite his nine targets.
Washington lists Diggs first at receiver, with Terry McLaurin on injured reserve following a knee injury and Treylon Burks questionable with a foot injury. Those are relevant circumstances for the passing game, not a reason to assume all of Burks’ work will be available to Diggs. The five-game Washington sample stays separate from Diggs’ history with other teams.
Antonio Williams 3+ receptions (−191)
Williams reached three catches in all four Washington losses and five of six targeted appearances overall. In the losses, he had four against Philadelphia, then three each against Dallas, Indianapolis and San Francisco. His three catches in the latest game produced 50 yards from four targets, a different result from the three catches for 21 yards he had against Indianapolis on eight targets.
That Indianapolis game helps explain the choice between catches and yards. Williams’ 20+ receiving yards at −320 cleared the same four losses and five of six appearances overall as three catches. The reception target is the lighter price. His 21 yards against the Colts left almost no room at that yardage floor even though he received eight targets; the catch requirement was met at exactly three.
Moving to four or more receptions at +131 changes the record considerably. Only the Philadelphia loss cleared it: one of four losses and one of six appearances overall. The three other losing games finished with exactly three catches. A fourth catch would be an additional demand on Williams, rather than a small change supported equally by the same games.
The lower floor has a cost too. Two or more receptions at −610 cleared all six appearances, retaining the game that missed three: Washington’s 33–31 win over Seattle. Williams caught two of four targets for 15 yards in that game. The Commanders scored enough to win, but neither their points nor the four targets supplied a third reception.
His three catches for 31 yards in the 27–27 tie with the Giants stay in the all-game baseline, while the tie doesn’t count as a Washington loss. With only four losing games behind the conditional rate, keeping that distinction visible matters more than the perfect-looking percentage.
Williams is listed second at receiver. McLaurin’s absence and Burks’ uncertain status belong in his role assessment too, but they don’t guarantee targets or completions. Diggs and Williams also compete within the same passing offense. Both catch floors can fit an Eagles-win scenario, as the earlier meeting showed, but their individual rates don’t establish how often both will clear together.
Washington lists Jayden Daniels at quarterback. Philadelphia lists Tanner McKee at quarterback, with DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks ruled out. Keep those personnel details in view when assessing the Eagles-win premise, and check the sportsbook’s actual same-game parlay quote before combining either catch floor with the moneyline. Follow the live Eagles–Commanders matchup for updates and find more analysis in our NFL coverage.
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