Pirates78 – 77vsMarlins76 – 79

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+
Miami Marlins	C	F	D

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT-145-1.5 (+125)

MIA+120+1.5 (-150)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
3/27/25	@ MIA	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 6.5
9/29/24	@ NYY	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/28/24	@ NYY	W 9–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
9/27/24	@ NYY	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/26/24	vs MIL	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/25/24	vs MIL	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/24/24	vs MIL	L 2–7	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/22/24	@ CIN	W 2–0	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/21/24	@ CIN	L 1–7	L +1.5	U 9.5
9/20/24	@ CIN	L 3–8	L +1.5	O 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
3/27/25	vs PIT	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
9/29/24	@ TOR	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/28/24	@ TOR	W 8–1	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/27/24	@ TOR	W 15–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/26/24	@ MIN	W 8–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/25/24	@ MIN	L 3–8	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/24/24	@ MIN	W 4–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/22/24	vs ATL	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/21/24	vs ATL	L 2–6	L +2.5	U 8.5
9/20/24	vs ATL	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesMitch KellerConfirmed

MarlinsConnor GillispieConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Miami MarlinsConfirmed

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