Marlins76 – 79vsMets71 – 84

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Miami Marlins	C	D-	D+
New York Mets	B	B+	B

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA+230+1.5 (+105)

NYM-285-1.5 (-125)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
4/5/25	@ ATL	W 4–0	W +1.5	U 8.5
4/4/25	@ ATL	L 0–10	L +1.5	O 7.5
4/2/25	vs NYM	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
4/1/25	vs NYM	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
3/31/25	vs NYM	L 4–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
3/30/25	vs PIT	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
3/29/25	vs PIT	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
3/28/25	vs PIT	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8.5
3/27/25	vs PIT	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
9/29/24	@ TOR	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
4/6/25	vs TOR	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 7.5
4/5/25	vs TOR	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
4/4/25	vs TOR	W 5–0	W -1.5	U 7.5
4/2/25	@ MIA	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
4/1/25	@ MIA	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 7.5
3/31/25	@ MIA	W 10–4	W -1.5	O 8.5
3/29/25	@ HOU	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
3/28/25	@ HOU	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
3/27/25	@ HOU	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
10/20/24	@ LAD	L 5–10	L +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

MarlinsValente BellozoConfirmed

MetsKodai SengaConfirmed

Miami MarlinsConfirmed

New York MetsConfirmed

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