MLB matchup
04/11/20256:40 PMGreat American BallparkCincinnati, Ohio48°F · Cloudy-Dry

Pirates78 – 77vsReds72 – 83

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Pittsburgh PiratesC+CC
Cincinnati RedsCCC
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
PIT+145+1.5 (-145)
CIN-175-1.5 (+120)
Total 8.5Over +100Under -120
Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
4/9/25vs STLW 2–1W +1.5U 7.5
4/8/25vs STLL 3–5L -1.5O 6.5
4/7/25vs STLW 8–4W +1.5O 8.5
4/6/25vs NYYW 5–4W +1.5O 8.5
4/5/25vs NYYL 4–10L +1.5O 9.5
4/4/25vs NYYL 4–9L +1.5O 7.5
4/2/25@ TBW 4–2W -1.5U 6.5
4/1/25@ TBL 0–7L +1.5U 8.5
3/31/25@ TBL 1–6L +1.5U 8.5
3/30/25@ MIAL 2–3L -1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cincinnati Reds

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
4/9/25@ SFL 6–8L +1.5O 7.5
4/8/25@ SFW 1–0W +1.5U 7.5
4/7/25@ SFW 2–0W +1.5U 6.5
4/6/25@ MILL 2–8L +1.5O 8.5
4/5/25@ MILW 11–7W -1.5O 8.5
4/4/25@ MILL 2–3W +1.5U 8.5
4/3/25@ MILL 0–1L -1.5U 8.5
4/2/25vs TEXL 0–1L -1.5U 8.5
4/1/25vs TEXL 0–1W +1.5U 8.5
3/31/25vs TEXW 14–3W +1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and Reds
Statistic
N/A (8.7)HitsN/A (7.6)
N/A (1.6)DoublesN/A (1.4)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.3)
N/A (13.9)Total BasesN/A (13.0)
N/A (3.5)WalksN/A (3.5)
N/A (9.3)StrikeoutsN/A (9.5)
N/A (0.8)Stolen BasesN/A (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesBailey FalterConfirmed
RedsBrady SingerConfirmed

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Enmanuel Valdez2B
  2. 2Bryan ReynoldsDH
  3. 3Joey BartC
  4. 4Endy Rodriguez1B
  5. 5Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  6. 6Jack SuwinskiCF
  7. 7Tommy PhamLF
  8. 8Adam FrazierRF
  9. 9Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS
Cincinnati RedsConfirmed
  1. 1TJ FriedlCF
  2. 2Blake DunnRF
  3. 3Elly De La CruzSS
  4. 4Spencer SteerDH
  5. 5Jeimer Candelario3B
  6. 6Christian Encarnacion-Strand1B
  7. 7Gavin LuxLF
  8. 8Santiago Espinal2B
  9. 9Jose TrevinoC


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