MLB matchup
05/02/20256:40 PMPNC ParkPittsburgh, Pennsylvania61°F · Overcast-Dry

Padres86 – 69vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
San Diego PadresBA-B+
Pittsburgh PiratesC+C+C+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
SD-135-1.5 (+125)
PIT+115+1.5 (-155)
Total 8.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 10 games

San Diego Padres

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
4/30/25vs SFW 5–3W -1.5O 6.5
4/29/25vs SFW 7–4W +1.5O 6.5
4/27/25vs TBL 2–4L +1.5U 8.5
4/26/25vs TBL 1–4L -1.5U 6.5
4/25/25vs TBL 0–1L -1.5U 6.5
4/23/25@ DETL 0–6L +1.5U 8.5
4/22/25@ DETW 2–0W +1.5U 7.5
4/21/25@ DETL 4–6L +1.5O 8.5
4/20/25@ HOUW 3–2L -1.5U 7.5
4/19/25@ HOUL 2–3L -1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/1/25vs CHCL 3–8L -1.5O 7.5
4/30/25vs CHCW 4–3W +1.5U 8.5
4/29/25vs CHCL 0–9L +1.5O 8.5
4/27/25@ LADL 2–9L +2.5O 8.5
4/26/25@ LADL 4–8L +1.5O 8.5
4/25/25@ LADW 3–0W +1.5U 6.5
4/24/25@ LAAL 3–4W +1.5U 9.5
4/23/25@ LAAW 3–0W +1.5U 8.5
4/22/25@ LAAW 9–3W +1.5O 8.5
4/20/25vs CLEL 4–5W +1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Padres and Pirates
Statistic
N/A (8.1)HitsN/A (8.7)
N/A (1.4)DoublesN/A (1.6)
N/A (1.1)Home RunsN/A (1.2)
N/A (13.2)Total BasesN/A (13.9)
N/A (3.4)WalksN/A (3.5)
N/A (8.1)StrikeoutsN/A (9.3)
N/A (1.0)Stolen BasesN/A (0.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PadresDylan CeaseConfirmed
PiratesMitch KellerConfirmed

Starting lineups

San Diego PadresConfirmed
  1. 1Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
  2. 2Luis Arraez1B
  3. 3Manny Machado3B
  4. 4Gavin SheetsDH
  5. 5Xander BogaertsSS
  6. 6Jose Iglesias2B
  7. 7Tyler WadeCF
  8. 8Jason HeywardLF
  9. 9Martin MaldonadoC
Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Oneil CruzCF
  2. 2Bryan ReynoldsRF
  3. 3Andrew McCutchenDH
  4. 4Enmanuel Valdez1B
  5. 5Joey BartC
  6. 6Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  7. 7Adam Frazier2B
  8. 8Alexander CanarioLF
  9. 9Jared TrioloSS


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