MLB matchup
05/03/20254:05 PMPNC ParkPittsburgh, Pennsylvania62°F · Overcast-Dry

Padres86 – 69vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
San Diego PadresBCB-
Pittsburgh PiratesC+CC
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
SD+105+1.5 (-200)
PIT-125-1.5 (+165)
Total 9.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 10 games

San Diego Padres

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/2/25@ PITW 9–4W -1.5O 8.5
4/30/25vs SFW 5–3W -1.5O 6.5
4/29/25vs SFW 7–4W +1.5O 6.5
4/27/25vs TBL 2–4L +1.5U 8.5
4/26/25vs TBL 1–4L -1.5U 6.5
4/25/25vs TBL 0–1L -1.5U 6.5
4/23/25@ DETL 0–6L +1.5U 8.5
4/22/25@ DETW 2–0W +1.5U 7.5
4/21/25@ DETL 4–6L +1.5O 8.5
4/20/25@ HOUW 3–2L -1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/2/25vs SDL 4–9L +1.5O 8.5
5/1/25vs CHCL 3–8L -1.5O 7.5
4/30/25vs CHCW 4–3W +1.5U 8.5
4/29/25vs CHCL 0–9L +1.5O 8.5
4/27/25@ LADL 2–9L +2.5O 8.5
4/26/25@ LADL 4–8L +1.5O 8.5
4/25/25@ LADW 3–0W +1.5U 6.5
4/24/25@ LAAL 3–4W +1.5U 9.5
4/23/25@ LAAW 3–0W +1.5U 8.5
4/22/25@ LAAW 9–3W +1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Padres and Pirates
Statistic
N/A (8.1)HitsN/A (8.7)
N/A (1.4)DoublesN/A (1.6)
N/A (1.1)Home RunsN/A (1.2)
N/A (13.2)Total BasesN/A (13.9)
N/A (3.4)WalksN/A (3.5)
N/A (8.1)StrikeoutsN/A (9.3)
N/A (1.0)Stolen BasesN/A (0.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PadresRandy VasquezConfirmed
PiratesBailey FalterConfirmed

Starting lineups

San Diego PadresConfirmed
  1. 1Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
  2. 2Luis Arraez1B
  3. 3Manny Machado3B
  4. 4Xander BogaertsSS
  5. 5Luis CampusanoDH
  6. 6Oscar GonzalezLF
  7. 7Jose Iglesias2B
  8. 8Brandon LockridgeCF
  9. 9Martin MaldonadoC
Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Oneil CruzCF
  2. 2Bryan ReynoldsRF
  3. 3Andrew McCutchenDH
  4. 4Joey BartC
  5. 5Enmanuel Valdez1B
  6. 6Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  7. 7Adam Frazier2B
  8. 8Alexander CanarioLF
  9. 9Jared TrioloSS


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