MLB matchup
05/05/20257:45 PMBusch StadiumSt. Louis, Missouri60°F · Cloudy-Dry

Pirates78 – 77vsCardinals75 – 80

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Pittsburgh PiratesC+C+C+
St. Louis CardinalsCC-C
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
PIT+105+1.5 (-200)
STL-125-1.5 (+165)
Total 8.5Over +100Under -120
Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/4/25vs SDL 0–4L +1.5U 8.5
5/3/25vs SDL 1–2L -1.5U 9.5
5/2/25vs SDL 4–9L +1.5O 8.5
5/1/25vs CHCL 3–8L -1.5O 7.5
4/30/25vs CHCW 4–3W +1.5U 8.5
4/29/25vs CHCL 0–9L +1.5O 8.5
4/27/25@ LADL 2–9L +2.5O 8.5
4/26/25@ LADL 4–8L +1.5O 8.5
4/25/25@ LADW 3–0W +1.5U 6.5
4/24/25@ LAAL 3–4W +1.5U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

St. Louis Cardinals

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/4/25vs NYMW 5–4W +1.5O 7.5
5/4/25vs NYMW 6–5W +1.5O 8.5
5/2/25vs NYML 3–9L +1.5O 7.5
5/1/25@ CINL 1–9L -1.5O 8.5
4/30/25@ CINW 9–1W -1.5O 9.5
4/30/25@ CINW 6–0W +1.5U 9.5
4/28/25@ CINL 1–3L -1.5U 9.5
4/27/25vs MILL 1–7L +1.5U 8.5
4/26/25vs MILW 6–5L -1.5O 7.5
4/25/25vs MILW 3–2L -1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and Cardinals
Statistic
N/A (8.7)HitsN/A (8.2)
N/A (1.6)DoublesN/A (1.5)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.9)Total BasesN/A (12.9)
N/A (3.5)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (9.3)StrikeoutsN/A (8.0)
N/A (0.8)Stolen BasesN/A (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesCarmen MlodzinskiConfirmed
CardinalsMiles MikolasConfirmed

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Oneil CruzCF
  2. 2Bryan ReynoldsRF
  3. 3Andrew McCutchenDH
  4. 4Joey BartC
  5. 5Enmanuel Valdez1B
  6. 6Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  7. 7Adam Frazier2B
  8. 8Tommy PhamLF
  9. 9Jared TrioloSS
St. Louis CardinalsConfirmed
  1. 1Lars NootbaarRF
  2. 2Alec BurlesonDH
  3. 3Brendan DonovanLF
  4. 4Nolan Arenado3B
  5. 5Willson Contreras1B
  6. 6Nolan Gorman2B
  7. 7Pedro PagesC
  8. 8Victor Scott IICF
  9. 9Jose BarreroSS


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