MLB matchup
05/05/20259:40 PMChase FieldPhoenix, Arizona

Mets71 – 84vsDiamondbacks81 – 74

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
New York MetsBCC+
Arizona DiamondbacksB-C+C+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
NYM-105-1.5 (+150)
ARI-115+1.5 (-180)
Total 9.5Over -120Under +100
Recent form

Last 10 games

New York Mets

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/4/25@ STLL 4–5L -1.5O 7.5
5/4/25@ STLL 5–6L -1.5O 8.5
5/2/25@ STLW 9–3W -1.5O 7.5
5/1/25vs ARIL 2–4L -1.5U 8.5
4/30/25vs ARIL 3–4W +1.5U 8.5
4/29/25vs ARIW 8–3W -1.5O 8.5
4/28/25@ WSHW 19–5W -1.5O 9.5
4/27/25@ WSHL 7–8L -1.5O 8.5
4/26/25@ WSHW 2–0W -1.5U 9.5
4/25/25@ WSHL 4–5L -1.5U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/4/25@ PHIW 11–9W +1.5O 8.5
5/3/25@ PHIL 2–7L +1.5U 9.5
5/2/25@ PHIL 2–3W +1.5U 9.5
5/1/25@ NYMW 4–2W +1.5U 8.5
4/30/25@ NYMW 4–3L -1.5U 8.5
4/29/25@ NYML 3–8L +1.5O 8.5
4/27/25vs ATLW 6–4W +1.5O 8.5
4/26/25vs ATLL 7–8L -1.5O 9.5
4/25/25vs ATLL 2–8L +1.5O 8.5
4/24/25vs TBL 4–7L -1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mets and Diamondbacks
Statistic
N/A (8.0)HitsN/A (8.2)
N/A (1.3)DoublesN/A (1.7)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (13.3)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.3)
N/A (8.4)StrikeoutsN/A (7.5)
N/A (0.6)Stolen BasesN/A (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MetsGriffin CanningConfirmed
DiamondbacksRyne NelsonConfirmed

Starting lineups

New York MetsConfirmed
  1. 1Francisco LindorSS
  2. 2Juan SotoRF
  3. 3Pete Alonso1B
  4. 4Starling MarteDH
  5. 5Brandon NimmoLF
  6. 6Mark Vientos3B
  7. 7Francisco AlvarezC
  8. 8Jeff McNeil2B
  9. 9Tyrone TaylorCF
Arizona DiamondbacksConfirmed
  1. 1Corbin CarrollRF
  2. 2Ketel Marte2B
  3. 3Pavin SmithDH
  4. 4Josh Naylor1B
  5. 5Eugenio Suarez3B
  6. 6Gabriel MorenoC
  7. 7Lourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
  8. 8Alek ThomasCF
  9. 9Geraldo PerdomoSS


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