MLB matchup
05/06/20257:05 PMGeorge M. Steinbrenner FieldTampa, Florida

Phillies85 – 70vsRays94 – 60

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Philadelphia PhilliesA-AA
Tampa Bay RaysBA-B+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
PHI-130-1.5 (+130)
TB+110+1.5 (-155)
Total 7.5Over -125Under +105
Recent form

Last 10 games

Philadelphia Phillies

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/4/25vs ARIL 9–11L -1.5O 8.5
5/3/25vs ARIW 7–2W -1.5U 9.5
5/2/25vs ARIW 3–2L -1.5U 9.5
5/1/25vs WSHL 2–4L -1.5U 9.5
4/30/25vs WSHW 7–2W -1.5O 7.5
4/29/25vs WSHW 7–6L -1.5O 8.5
4/27/25@ CHCW 3–1W -1.5U 8.5
4/26/25@ CHCW 10–4W -1.5O 6.5
4/25/25@ CHCL 0–4L +1.5U 8.5
4/23/25@ NYML 3–4L -1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/4/25@ NYYW 7–5W +1.5O 8.5
5/3/25@ NYYW 3–2W +1.5U 9.5
5/2/25@ NYYL 0–3L +1.5U 8.5
5/1/25vs KCL 2–8L -1.5O 8.5
4/30/25vs KCL 0–3L -1.5U 7.5
4/29/25vs KCL 1–3L -1.5U 8.5
4/27/25@ SDW 4–2W -1.5U 8.5
4/26/25@ SDW 4–1W +1.5U 6.5
4/25/25@ SDW 1–0W +1.5U 6.5
4/24/25@ ARIW 7–4W +1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Phillies and Rays
Statistic
N/A (8.0)HitsN/A (8.7)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.4)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (13.5)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (8.3)StrikeoutsN/A (7.1)
N/A (0.6)Stolen BasesN/A (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PhilliesZack WheelerConfirmed
RaysDrew RasmussenConfirmed

Starting lineups

Philadelphia PhilliesConfirmed
  1. 1Bryson Stott2B
  2. 2Trea TurnerSS
  3. 3Bryce Harper1B
  4. 4Kyle SchwarberDH
  5. 5Nick CastellanosRF
  6. 6Max KeplerLF
  7. 7J.T. RealmutoC
  8. 8Alec Bohm3B
  9. 9Brandon MarshCF
Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed
  1. 1Chandler SimpsonLF
  2. 2Brandon Lowe2B
  3. 3Yandy DiazDH
  4. 4Jonathan Aranda1B
  5. 5Kameron MisnerCF
  6. 6Junior Caminero3B
  7. 7Travis JankowskiRF
  8. 8Ben RortvedtC
  9. 9Taylor WallsSS


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