MLB matchup
05/09/20256:40 PMPNC ParkPittsburgh, Pennsylvania61°F · Cloudy-Dry

Braves92 – 64vsPirates79 – 77

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Atlanta BravesB+BB
Pittsburgh PiratesC+CC
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
ATL-150-1.5 (+115)
PIT+125+1.5 (-135)
Total 8.5Over -120Under +100
Recent form

Last 10 games

Atlanta Braves

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/8/25vs CINW 5–4L -1.5O 8.5
5/7/25vs CINL 3–4W +1.5U 7.5
5/6/25vs CINW 2–1L -1.5U 8.5
5/5/25vs CINW 4–0W -1.5U 8.5
5/4/25vs LADW 4–3W +1.5U 9.5
5/3/25vs LADL 3–10L -1.5O 8.5
5/2/25vs LADL 1–2W +1.5U 9.5
4/30/25@ COLL 1–2L -2.5U 9.5
4/29/25@ COLW 8–2W -1.5U 10.5
4/28/25@ COLW 6–3W -1.5U 10.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall1–9–0W–L–TRun line1–9–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/7/25@ STLL 0–5L +1.5U 7.5
5/6/25@ STLL 1–2L -1.5U 7.5
5/5/25@ STLL 3–6L +1.5O 8.5
5/4/25vs SDL 0–4L +1.5U 8.5
5/3/25vs SDL 1–2L -1.5U 9.5
5/2/25vs SDL 4–9L +1.5O 8.5
5/1/25vs CHCL 3–8L -1.5O 7.5
4/30/25vs CHCW 4–3W +1.5U 8.5
4/29/25vs CHCL 0–9L +1.5O 8.5
4/27/25@ LADL 2–9L +2.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Braves and Pirates
Statistic
N/A (8.3)HitsN/A (8.7)
N/A (1.6)DoublesN/A (1.5)
N/A (1.3)Home RunsN/A (1.1)
N/A (13.9)Total BasesN/A (13.9)
N/A (2.9)WalksN/A (3.5)
N/A (8.1)StrikeoutsN/A (9.3)
N/A (0.5)Stolen BasesN/A (0.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BravesBryce ElderConfirmed
PiratesBailey FalterConfirmed

Starting lineups

Atlanta BravesConfirmed
  1. 1Ozzie Albies2B
  2. 2Austin Riley3B
  3. 3Marcell OzunaDH
  4. 4Matt Olson1B
  5. 5Eli WhiteLF
  6. 6Sean MurphyC
  7. 7Michael Harris IICF
  8. 8Stuart FairchildRF
  9. 9Nick AllenSS
Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Oneil CruzCF
  2. 2Bryan ReynoldsRF
  3. 3Andrew McCutchenDH
  4. 4Joey BartC
  5. 5Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  6. 6Matt Gorski1B
  7. 7Adam Frazier2B
  8. 8Alexander CanarioLF
  9. 9Jared TrioloSS


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