MLB matchup
05/11/20251:35 PMPNC ParkPittsburgh, Pennsylvania72°F · Sunny-Dry

Braves91 – 64vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Atlanta BravesB+A+A-
Pittsburgh PiratesC+C+C+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
ATL-230-1.5 (-130)
PIT+190+1.5 (+110)
Total 7.5Over -125Under +105
Recent form

Last 10 games

Atlanta Braves

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/10/25@ PITW 3–2L -1.5U 8.5
5/9/25@ PITL 2–3L -1.5U 8.5
5/8/25vs CINW 5–4L -1.5O 8.5
5/7/25vs CINL 3–4W +1.5U 7.5
5/6/25vs CINW 2–1L -1.5U 8.5
5/5/25vs CINW 4–0W -1.5U 8.5
5/4/25vs LADW 4–3W +1.5U 9.5
5/3/25vs LADL 3–10L -1.5O 8.5
5/2/25vs LADL 1–2W +1.5U 9.5
4/30/25@ COLL 1–2L -2.5U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/10/25vs ATLL 2–3W +1.5U 8.5
5/9/25vs ATLW 3–2W +1.5U 8.5
5/7/25@ STLL 0–5L +1.5U 7.5
5/6/25@ STLL 1–2L -1.5U 7.5
5/5/25@ STLL 3–6L +1.5O 8.5
5/4/25vs SDL 0–4L +1.5U 8.5
5/3/25vs SDL 1–2L -1.5U 9.5
5/2/25vs SDL 4–9L +1.5O 8.5
5/1/25vs CHCL 3–8L -1.5O 7.5
4/30/25vs CHCW 4–3W +1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Braves and Pirates
Statistic
N/A (8.4)HitsN/A (8.7)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.6)
N/A (1.3)Home RunsN/A (1.2)
N/A (14.0)Total BasesN/A (13.9)
N/A (3.0)WalksN/A (3.5)
N/A (8.1)StrikeoutsN/A (9.3)
N/A (0.5)Stolen BasesN/A (0.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BravesChris SaleConfirmed
PiratesCarmen MlodzinskiConfirmed

Starting lineups

Atlanta BravesConfirmed
  1. 1Alex VerdugoLF
  2. 2Austin Riley3B
  3. 3Matt Olson1B
  4. 4Marcell OzunaDH
  5. 5Drake BaldwinC
  6. 6Ozzie Albies2B
  7. 7Eli WhiteRF
  8. 8Michael Harris IICF
  9. 9Nick AllenSS
Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  2. 2Bryan ReynoldsRF
  3. 3Andrew McCutchenDH
  4. 4Joey BartC
  5. 5Matt Gorski1B
  6. 6Alexander CanarioCF
  7. 7Tommy PhamLF
  8. 8Jared TrioloSS
  9. 9Liover Peguero2B


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