MLB matchup
05/12/20258:10 PMMinute Maid ParkHouston, Texas

Royals67 – 88vsAstros77 – 78

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Kansas City RoyalsCB-C
Houston AstrosBC+B-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
KC+100-1.5 (+170)
HOU-120+1.5 (-215)
Total 7.5Over -130Under +110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Kansas City Royals

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/11/25vs BOSL 1–3L -1.5U 8.5
5/10/25vs BOSL 1–10L +1.5O 7.5
5/9/25vs BOSW 2–1W +1.5U 8.5
5/8/25vs CHWW 10–0W -1.5O 8.5
5/7/25vs CHWW 2–1L -1.5U 8.5
5/6/25vs CHWW 4–3L -1.5U 8.5
5/5/25vs CHWW 3–0W -1.5U 7.5
5/4/25@ BALW 11–6W +1.5O 9.5
5/3/25@ BALW 4–0W -1.5U 8.5
5/2/25@ BALL 0–3L +1.5U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Houston Astros

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/11/25vs CINW 6–0W -1.5U 8.5
5/10/25vs CINL 9–13L -1.5O 7.5
5/9/25vs CINW 3–0W -1.5U 7.5
5/7/25@ MILW 9–1W -1.5O 7.5
5/6/25@ MILL 3–4L -1.5U 7.5
5/5/25@ MILL 1–5L -1.5U 8.5
5/4/25@ CHWL 4–5L -1.5O 8.5
5/3/25@ CHWW 8–3W -1.5O 7.5
5/2/25@ CHWL 3–7L -2.5O 8.5
4/30/25vs DETL 4–7L -1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Royals and Astros
Statistic
N/A (8.2)HitsN/A (8.0)
N/A (1.8)DoublesN/A (1.5)
N/A (1.0)Home RunsN/A (1.3)
N/A (13.4)Total BasesN/A (13.8)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (7.8)StrikeoutsN/A (8.2)
N/A (0.8)Stolen BasesN/A (0.3)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RoyalsMichael WachaConfirmed
AstrosRyan GustoConfirmed

Starting lineups

Kansas City RoyalsConfirmed
  1. 1Jonathan India3B
  2. 2Bobby Witt Jr.DH
  3. 3Vinnie Pasquantino1B
  4. 4Salvador PerezC
  5. 5Maikel GarciaSS
  6. 6Michael Massey2B
  7. 7Cavan BiggioLF
  8. 8Drew WatersRF
  9. 9Kyle IsbelCF
Houston AstrosConfirmed
  1. 1Jeremy PenaSS
  2. 2Jose Altuve2B
  3. 3Isaac Paredes3B
  4. 4Christian Walker1B
  5. 5Yainer DiazC
  6. 6Victor CaratiniDH
  7. 7Jake MeyersCF
  8. 8Zach DezenzoLF
  9. 9Cam SmithRF


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