MLB matchup
05/16/20256:45 PMCitizens B ParkPhiladelphia, Pennsylvania73°F · Cloudy-Dry

Pirates78 – 77vsPhillies85 – 70

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Pittsburgh PiratesC+CC
Philadelphia PhilliesA-AA-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
PIT+195+1.5 (-105)
PHI-235-1.5 (-115)
Total 9.5Over +115Under -135
Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U1–9–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/14/25@ NYMW 4–0W +1.5U 7.5
5/13/25@ NYML 1–2W +1.5U 7.5
5/12/25@ NYML 3–4W +1.5U 7.5
5/11/25vs ATLW 4–3W +1.5U 7.5
5/10/25vs ATLL 2–3W +1.5U 8.5
5/9/25vs ATLW 3–2W +1.5U 8.5
5/7/25@ STLL 0–5L +1.5U 7.5
5/6/25@ STLL 1–2L -1.5U 7.5
5/5/25@ STLL 3–6L +1.5O 8.5
5/4/25vs SDL 0–4L +1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Philadelphia Phillies

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/14/25vs STLL 7–14L -1.5O 8.5
5/14/25vs STLW 2–1L -1.5U 8.5
5/12/25vs STLL 2–3L -1.5U 8.5
5/11/25@ CLEW 3–0W -1.5U 7.5
5/10/25@ CLEW 7–1W -1.5U 8.5
5/9/25@ CLEL 0–6L -1.5U 7.5
5/8/25@ TBW 7–6L -1.5O 8.5
5/7/25@ TBW 7–0W -1.5U 8.5
5/6/25@ TBW 8–4W -1.5O 7.5
5/4/25vs ARIL 9–11L -1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and Phillies
Statistic
N/A (8.7)HitsN/A (8.0)
N/A (1.6)DoublesN/A (1.5)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.2)
N/A (13.9)Total BasesN/A (13.3)
N/A (3.5)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (9.3)StrikeoutsN/A (8.3)
N/A (0.8)Stolen BasesN/A (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesAndrew HeaneyConfirmed
PhilliesRanger SuarezConfirmed

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS
  2. 2Andrew McCutchenDH
  3. 3Joey BartC
  4. 4Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  5. 5Alexander CanarioRF
  6. 6Nick Solak1B
  7. 7Tommy PhamLF
  8. 8Matt GorskiCF
  9. 9Jared Triolo2B
Philadelphia PhilliesConfirmed
  1. 1Trea TurnerSS
  2. 2Bryce Harper1B
  3. 3Kyle SchwarberDH
  4. 4Nick CastellanosRF
  5. 5J.T. RealmutoC
  6. 6Alec Bohm3B
  7. 7Edmundo Sosa2B
  8. 8Weston WilsonLF
  9. 9Johan RojasCF


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