MLB matchup
05/16/20257:10 PMFenway ParkBoston, Massachusetts76°F · Sunny-Dry

Braves91 – 64vsRed Sox84 – 71

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Atlanta BravesB+A+A-
Boston Red SoxB-A-B+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
ATL-105-1.5 (+160)
BOS-115+1.5 (-190)
Total 8.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 10 games

Atlanta Braves

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U1–9–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/15/25vs WSHW 5–2W -1.5U 8.5
5/14/25vs WSHL 4–5L -1.5U 9.5
5/13/25vs WSHW 5–2W -1.5U 8.5
5/12/25vs WSHW 4–3L -1.5U 8.5
5/11/25@ PITL 3–4L -1.5U 7.5
5/10/25@ PITW 3–2L -1.5U 8.5
5/9/25@ PITL 2–3L -1.5U 8.5
5/8/25vs CINW 5–4L -1.5O 8.5
5/7/25vs CINL 3–4W +1.5U 7.5
5/6/25vs CINW 2–1L -1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Boston Red Sox

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/14/25@ DETL 5–6W +1.5O 6.5
5/13/25@ DETL 9–10L -1.5O 8.5
5/12/25@ DETL 2–14L -1.5O 8.5
5/11/25@ KCW 3–1W +1.5U 8.5
5/10/25@ KCW 10–1W -1.5O 7.5
5/9/25@ KCL 1–2L -1.5U 8.5
5/8/25vs TEXW 5–0W -1.5U 9.5
5/7/25vs TEXW 6–4W -1.5O 9.5
5/6/25vs TEXL 1–6L +1.5U 8.5
5/4/25vs MINL 4–5L -1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Braves and Red Sox
Statistic
N/A (8.4)HitsN/A (8.2)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.8)
N/A (1.3)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (14.0)Total BasesN/A (13.3)
N/A (3.0)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (8.1)StrikeoutsN/A (8.2)
N/A (0.5)Stolen BasesN/A (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BravesChris SaleConfirmed
Red SoxGarrett CrochetConfirmed

Starting lineups

Atlanta BravesConfirmed
  1. 1Eli WhiteLF
  2. 2Austin Riley3B
  3. 3Marcell OzunaDH
  4. 4Matt Olson1B
  5. 5Sean MurphyC
  6. 6Ozzie Albies2B
  7. 7Michael Harris IICF
  8. 8Stuart FairchildRF
  9. 9Nick AllenSS
Boston Red SoxConfirmed
  1. 1Jarren DuranLF
  2. 2Rafael DeversDH
  3. 3Alex Bregman3B
  4. 4Rob RefsnyderRF
  5. 5Kristian Campbell2B
  6. 6Trevor StorySS
  7. 7Nick Sogard1B
  8. 8Carlos NarvaezC
  9. 9Ceddanne RafaelaCF


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