MLB matchup
05/30/20259:40 PMPETCO ParkSan Diego, California68°F · Cloudy-Dry

Pirates78 – 77vsPadres86 – 69

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Pittsburgh PiratesC+C+C+
San Diego PadresBBB
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
PIT+160+1.5 (-135)
SD-190-1.5 (+115)
Total 7.5Over +105Under -125
Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/28/25@ ARIW 10–1W +1.5O 7.5
5/27/25@ ARIW 9–6W +1.5O 8.5
5/26/25@ ARIL 0–5L +1.5U 9.5
5/25/25vs MILL 5–6W +1.5O 8.5
5/24/25vs MILW 2–1W +1.5U 8.5
5/23/25vs MILW 6–5W +1.5O 6.5
5/22/25vs MILL 5–8L +1.5O 8.5
5/21/25vs CINW 3–1W +1.5U 7.5
5/20/25vs CINW 1–0W +1.5U 7.5
5/19/25vs CINL 1–7L +1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

San Diego Padres

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/28/25vs MIAL 8–10L -1.5O 8.5
5/27/25vs MIAW 8–6W -1.5O 7.5
5/26/25vs MIAW 4–3L -1.5U 7.5
5/25/25@ ATLW 5–3W +1.5O 7.5
5/24/25@ ATLL 1–7L +1.5U 9.5
5/23/25@ ATLW 2–1W +1.5U 7.5
5/22/25@ TORL 6–7L -1.5O 8.5
5/21/25@ TORL 0–14L +1.5O 8.5
5/20/25@ TORL 0–3L -1.5U 7.5
5/18/25vs SEAL 1–6L -1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and Padres
Statistic
N/A (8.7)HitsN/A (8.1)
N/A (1.6)DoublesN/A (1.4)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.1)
N/A (13.9)Total BasesN/A (13.2)
N/A (3.5)WalksN/A (3.4)
N/A (9.3)StrikeoutsN/A (8.1)
N/A (0.8)Stolen BasesN/A (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesMitch KellerConfirmed
PadresNick PivettaConfirmed

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Oneil CruzCF
  2. 2Andrew McCutchenDH
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsRF
  4. 4Spencer Horwitz1B
  5. 5Henry DavisC
  6. 6Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  7. 7Adam Frazier2B
  8. 8Tommy PhamLF
  9. 9Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS
San Diego PadresConfirmed
  1. 1Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
  2. 2Luis Arraez1B
  3. 3Manny Machado3B
  4. 4Jackson MerrillCF
  5. 5Gavin SheetsDH
  6. 6Xander BogaertsSS
  7. 7Jake Cronenworth2B
  8. 8Tyler WadeLF
  9. 9Elias DiazC


Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial