MLB matchup
06/28/20254:05 PMPNC ParkPittsburgh, Pennsylvania82°F · Overcast-Dry

Mets71 – 84vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
New York MetsBB-B-
Pittsburgh PiratesC+CC
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
NYM-150-1.5 (+110)
PIT+125+1.5 (-130)
Total 9.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

New York Mets

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
6/27/25@ PITL 1–9L -1.5O 8.5
6/26/25vs ATLW 4–0W +1.5U 8.5
6/25/25vs ATLW 7–3W -1.5O 9.5
6/24/25vs ATLL 4–7L +1.5O 8.5
6/23/25vs ATLL 2–3W +1.5U 8.5
6/22/25@ PHIL 1–7L -1.5U 8.5
6/21/25@ PHIW 11–4W -1.5O 10.5
6/20/25@ PHIL 2–10L +1.5O 8.5
6/19/25@ ATLL 1–7L +1.5U 8.5
6/18/25@ ATLL 0–5L +1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
6/27/25vs NYMW 9–1W +1.5O 8.5
6/25/25@ MILL 2–4L -1.5U 6.5
6/24/25@ MILL 3–9L +1.5O 7.5
6/23/25@ MILW 5–4W +1.5O 8.5
6/22/25vs TEXW 8–3W +1.5O 9.5
6/21/25vs TEXL 2–3W +1.5U 8.5
6/20/25vs TEXL 2–6L +1.5O 7.5
6/19/25@ DETW 8–4W -1.5O 7.5
6/19/25@ DETL 2–9L +2.5O 7.5
6/17/25@ DETL 3–7L +1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mets and Pirates
Statistic
N/A (8.0)HitsN/A (8.7)
N/A (1.3)DoublesN/A (1.6)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.2)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (13.9)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.5)
N/A (8.4)StrikeoutsN/A (9.3)
N/A (0.6)Stolen BasesN/A (0.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MetsPaul BlackburnConfirmed
PiratesBailey FalterConfirmed

Starting lineups

New York MetsConfirmed
  1. 1Francisco LindorSS
  2. 2Mark Vientos3B
  3. 3Juan SotoRF
  4. 4Pete Alonso1B
  5. 5Brandon NimmoLF
  6. 6Starling MarteDH
  7. 7Tyrone TaylorCF
  8. 8Brett Baty2B
  9. 9Luis TorrensC
Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Adam FrazierLF
  2. 2Andrew McCutchenDH
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsRF
  4. 4Nick Gonzales2B
  5. 5Oneil CruzCF
  6. 6Joey BartC
  7. 7Spencer Horwitz1B
  8. 8Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  9. 9Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS


Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial