MLB matchup
07/04/20254:10 PMT-Mobile ParkSeattle, Washington

Pirates78 – 77vsMariners72 – 83

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Pittsburgh PiratesC+CC
Seattle MarinersBA-B+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
PIT+150+1.5 (-155)
SEA-180-1.5 (+120)
Total 7.5Over +110Under -130
Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/2/25vs STLW 5–0W +1.5U 7.5
7/1/25vs STLW 1–0L -1.5U 7.5
6/30/25vs STLW 7–0W +1.5U 8.5
6/29/25vs NYMW 12–1W +1.5O 9.5
6/28/25vs NYMW 9–2W +1.5O 9.5
6/27/25vs NYMW 9–1W +1.5O 8.5
6/25/25@ MILL 2–4L -1.5U 6.5
6/24/25@ MILL 3–9L +1.5O 7.5
6/23/25@ MILW 5–4W +1.5O 8.5
6/22/25vs TEXW 8–3W +1.5O 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Seattle Mariners

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/3/25vs KCL 2–3L -1.5U 7.5
7/2/25vs KCW 3–2L -1.5U 6.5
7/1/25vs KCL 3–6L -1.5O 8.5
6/30/25vs KCW 6–2W -1.5O 7.5
6/29/25@ TEXW 6–4W -1.5O 8.5
6/28/25@ TEXL 2–3L -1.5U 7.5
6/27/25@ TEXW 7–6L -1.5O 6.5
6/26/25@ MINL 1–10L +1.5O 8.5
6/25/25@ MINL 0–2L -1.5U 7.5
6/24/25@ MINW 6–5L -1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and Mariners
Statistic
N/A (8.7)HitsN/A (7.7)
N/A (1.6)DoublesN/A (1.3)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.2)
N/A (13.9)Total BasesN/A (12.8)
N/A (3.5)WalksN/A (3.4)
N/A (9.3)StrikeoutsN/A (8.9)
N/A (0.8)Stolen BasesN/A (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesBailey FalterConfirmed
MarinersBryan WooConfirmed

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Spencer Horwitz1B
  2. 2Andrew McCutchenDH
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsRF
  4. 4Nick Gonzales2B
  5. 5Oneil CruzCF
  6. 6Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  7. 7Adam FrazierLF
  8. 8Joey BartC
  9. 9Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS
Seattle MarinersConfirmed
  1. 1J.P. CrawfordSS
  2. 2Julio RodriguezCF
  3. 3Cal RaleighDH
  4. 4Randy ArozarenaLF
  5. 5Donovan Solano1B
  6. 6Mitch GarverC
  7. 7Dylan MooreRF
  8. 8Ben Williamson3B
  9. 9Cole Young2B


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