MLB matchup
07/04/20257:10 PMProgressive FieldCleveland, Ohio85°F · Sunny-Dry

Tigers73 – 82vsGuardians80 – 75

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Detroit TigersB-B+B
Cleveland GuardiansD+B-C
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
DET-125-1.5 (+135)
CLE+105+1.5 (-160)
Total 8.5Over +100Under -120
Recent form

Last 10 games

Detroit Tigers

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/3/25@ WSHL 7–11L -1.5O 9.5
7/2/25@ WSHL 4–9L -1.5O 8.5
7/2/25@ WSHW 11–2W -1.5O 9.5
6/29/25vs MINW 3–0W -1.5U 7.5
6/28/25vs MINW 10–5W -1.5O 9.5
6/27/25vs MINL 1–4L -1.5U 8.5
6/26/25vs ATHW 8–0W -1.5U 8.5
6/25/25vs ATHL 0–3L -1.5U 8.5
6/24/25vs ATHW 11–4W -2.5O 7.5
6/22/25@ TBW 9–3W -1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cleveland Guardians

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/3/25@ CHCL 0–1W +1.5U 8.5
7/2/25@ CHCL 4–5W +1.5O 8.5
7/1/25@ CHCL 2–5L +2.5U 8.5
6/29/25vs STLL 0–7L +1.5U 8.5
6/28/25vs STLL 6–9L +1.5O 8.5
6/27/25vs STLL 0–5L +1.5U 8.5
6/26/25vs TORL 0–6L -1.5U 7.5
6/25/25vs TORW 5–4W +1.5O 8.5
6/24/25vs TORL 6–10L +1.5O 8.5
6/22/25@ ATHW 3–0W -1.5U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Tigers and Guardians
Statistic
N/A (8.1)HitsN/A (7.9)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.6)
N/A (1.1)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (12.6)
N/A (3.6)WalksN/A (3.5)
N/A (8.9)StrikeoutsN/A (7.9)
N/A (0.3)Stolen BasesN/A (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

TigersReese OlsonConfirmed
GuardiansSlade CecconiConfirmed

Starting lineups

Detroit TigersConfirmed
  1. 1Colt Keith3B
  2. 2Gleyber Torres2B
  3. 3Wenceel PerezRF
  4. 4Riley GreeneDH
  5. 5Spencer Torkelson1B
  6. 6Zach McKinstrySS
  7. 7Matt VierlingLF
  8. 8Parker MeadowsCF
  9. 9Dillon DinglerC
Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed
  1. 1Steven KwanLF
  2. 2Kyle ManzardoDH
  3. 3Jose Ramirez3B
  4. 4Carlos Santana1B
  5. 5Nolan JonesRF
  6. 6Lane ThomasCF
  7. 7Daniel SchneemannSS
  8. 8Bo NaylorC
  9. 9Angel Martinez2B


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