MLB matchup
07/05/20254:05 PMNationals ParkWashington, DC89°F · Cloudy-Dry

Red Sox84 – 71vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Boston Red SoxB-C+B-
Washington NationalsCDC-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
BOS-120-1.5 (+130)
WSH+100+1.5 (-155)
Total 9.5Over -120Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Boston Red Sox

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/4/25@ WSHW 11–2W -1.5O 8.5
7/2/25vs CINL 4–8L -1.5O 9.5
7/1/25vs CINW 5–3W +1.5U 9.5
6/30/25vs CINW 13–6W -1.5O 7.5
6/29/25vs TORL 3–5L +1.5U 9.5
6/28/25vs TORW 15–1W +1.5O 8.5
6/27/25vs TORL 0–9L -1.5O 8.5
6/25/25@ LAAL 2–5L -1.5U 8.5
6/24/25@ LAAL 2–3L -1.5U 7.5
6/23/25@ LAAL 5–9L -1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Washington Nationals

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/4/25vs BOSL 2–11L +1.5O 8.5
7/3/25vs DETW 11–7W +1.5O 9.5
7/2/25vs DETW 9–4W +1.5O 8.5
7/2/25vs DETL 2–11L +1.5O 9.5
6/29/25@ LAAW 7–4W -1.5O 9.5
6/28/25@ LAAL 2–8L -1.5O 8.5
6/27/25@ LAAW 15–9W +1.5O 8.5
6/25/25@ SDL 0–1W +1.5U 7.5
6/24/25@ SDL 3–4W +1.5U 8.5
6/23/25@ SDW 10–6W +1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Red Sox and Nationals
Statistic
N/A (8.2)HitsN/A (8.4)
N/A (1.8)DoublesN/A (1.7)
N/A (1.0)Home RunsN/A (1.3)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (14.5)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.4)
N/A (8.2)StrikeoutsN/A (8.5)
N/A (0.7)Stolen BasesN/A (1.1)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

Red SoxWalker BuehlerConfirmed
NationalsMitchell ParkerConfirmed

Starting lineups

Boston Red SoxConfirmed
  1. 1Nate Eaton3B
  2. 2Romy Gonzalez2B
  3. 3Roman AnthonyRF
  4. 4Rob RefsnyderDH
  5. 5Carlos NarvaezC
  6. 6Trevor StorySS
  7. 7Jarren DuranLF
  8. 8Abraham Toro1B
  9. 9Ceddanne RafaelaCF
Washington NationalsConfirmed
  1. 1CJ AbramsSS
  2. 2James WoodLF
  3. 3Luis Garcia Jr.2B
  4. 4Nathaniel Lowe1B
  5. 5Josh BellDH
  6. 6Brady House3B
  7. 7Daylen LileRF
  8. 8Keibert RuizC
  9. 9Jacob YoungCF


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