Red Sox84 – 71vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Boston Red Sox	B-	A-	B+
Washington Nationals	C	F	D

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS-225-1.5 (-135)

WSH+185+1.5 (+115)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/5/25	@ WSH	W 10–3	W -1.5	O 9.5
7/4/25	@ WSH	W 11–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
7/2/25	vs CIN	L 4–8	L -1.5	O 9.5
7/1/25	vs CIN	W 5–3	W +1.5	U 9.5
6/30/25	vs CIN	W 13–6	W -1.5	O 7.5
6/29/25	vs TOR	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 9.5
6/28/25	vs TOR	W 15–1	W +1.5	O 8.5
6/27/25	vs TOR	L 0–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
6/25/25	@ LAA	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 8.5
6/24/25	@ LAA	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/5/25	vs BOS	L 3–10	L +1.5	O 9.5
7/4/25	vs BOS	L 2–11	L +1.5	O 8.5
7/3/25	vs DET	W 11–7	W +1.5	O 9.5
7/2/25	vs DET	W 9–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
7/2/25	vs DET	L 2–11	L +1.5	O 9.5
6/29/25	@ LAA	W 7–4	W -1.5	O 9.5
6/28/25	@ LAA	L 2–8	L -1.5	O 8.5
6/27/25	@ LAA	W 15–9	W +1.5	O 8.5
6/25/25	@ SD	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
6/24/25	@ SD	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

Red SoxGarrett CrochetConfirmed

NationalsShinnosuke OgasawaraConfirmed

Boston Red SoxConfirmed

Washington NationalsConfirmed

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