Pirates78 – 77vsMariners72 – 83

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	A-	B
Seattle Mariners	B	B+	B+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+100-1.5 (+175)

SEA-120+1.5 (-225)

Total 6.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/5/25	@ SEA	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
7/4/25	@ SEA	L 0–6	L +1.5	U 7.5
7/2/25	vs STL	W 5–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
7/1/25	vs STL	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 7.5
6/30/25	vs STL	W 7–0	W +1.5	U 8.5
6/29/25	vs NYM	W 12–1	W +1.5	O 9.5
6/28/25	vs NYM	W 9–2	W +1.5	O 9.5
6/27/25	vs NYM	W 9–1	W +1.5	O 8.5
6/25/25	@ MIL	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 6.5
6/24/25	@ MIL	L 3–9	L +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/5/25	vs PIT	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 7.5
7/4/25	vs PIT	W 6–0	W -1.5	U 7.5
7/3/25	vs KC	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
7/2/25	vs KC	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 6.5
7/1/25	vs KC	L 3–6	L -1.5	O 8.5
6/30/25	vs KC	W 6–2	W -1.5	O 7.5
6/29/25	@ TEX	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 8.5
6/28/25	@ TEX	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
6/27/25	@ TEX	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 6.5
6/26/25	@ MIN	L 1–10	L +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesPaul SkenesConfirmed

MarinersGeorge KirbyConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Seattle MarinersConfirmed

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