MLB matchup
07/07/20257:40 PMKauffman StadiumKansas City, Missouri89°F · Cloudy-Dry

Pirates78 – 77vsRoyals67 – 88

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Pittsburgh PiratesC+CC
Kansas City RoyalsCB-C
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
PIT+120+1.5 (-180)
KC-145-1.5 (+150)
Total 8.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/6/25@ SEAL 0–1L -1.5U 6.5
7/5/25@ SEAL 0–1W +1.5U 7.5
7/4/25@ SEAL 0–6L +1.5U 7.5
7/2/25vs STLW 5–0W +1.5U 7.5
7/1/25vs STLW 1–0L -1.5U 7.5
6/30/25vs STLW 7–0W +1.5U 8.5
6/29/25vs NYMW 12–1W +1.5O 9.5
6/28/25vs NYMW 9–2W +1.5O 9.5
6/27/25vs NYMW 9–1W +1.5O 8.5
6/25/25@ MILL 2–4L -1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Kansas City Royals

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/6/25@ ARIW 4–0W +1.5U 9.5
7/5/25@ ARIL 1–7L +1.5U 9.5
7/4/25@ ARIW 9–3W -1.5O 8.5
7/3/25@ SEAW 3–2W +1.5U 7.5
7/2/25@ SEAL 2–3W +1.5U 6.5
7/1/25@ SEAW 6–3W +1.5O 8.5
6/30/25@ SEAL 2–6L +1.5O 7.5
6/29/25vs LADL 1–5L +1.5U 9.5
6/28/25vs LADW 9–5W +1.5O 9.5
6/27/25vs LADL 4–5W +1.5U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and Royals
Statistic
N/A (8.7)HitsN/A (8.2)
N/A (1.6)DoublesN/A (1.8)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.9)Total BasesN/A (13.4)
N/A (3.5)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (9.3)StrikeoutsN/A (7.8)
N/A (0.8)Stolen BasesN/A (0.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesAndrew HeaneyConfirmed
RoyalsNoah CameronConfirmed

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Tommy PhamLF
  2. 2Andrew McCutchenDH
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsRF
  4. 4Nick Gonzales2B
  5. 5Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  6. 6Alexander CanarioCF
  7. 7Henry DavisC
  8. 8Jared Triolo1B
  9. 9Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS
Kansas City RoyalsConfirmed
  1. 1Jonathan India2B
  2. 2Bobby Witt Jr.SS
  3. 3Vinnie Pasquantino1B
  4. 4Maikel Garcia3B
  5. 5Salvador PerezC
  6. 6Jac CaglianoneRF
  7. 7Mark CanhaDH
  8. 8Nick LoftinLF
  9. 9Kyle IsbelCF


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