MLB matchup
07/28/20259:40 PMPETCO ParkSan Diego, California68°F · Sunny-Dry

Mets71 – 84vsPadres86 – 69

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
New York MetsBB-B-
San Diego PadresBA-B+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
NYM+115+1.5 (-200)
SD-135-1.5 (+165)
Total 7.5Over -130Under +110
Recent form

Last 10 games

New York Mets

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/27/25@ SFW 5–3W -1.5U 8.5
7/26/25@ SFW 2–1L -1.5U 7.5
7/25/25@ SFW 8–1W +1.5O 7.5
7/23/25vs LAAW 6–3W -1.5U 9.5
7/22/25vs LAAW 3–2L -1.5U 9.5
7/21/25vs LAAW 7–5W -1.5O 8.5
7/20/25vs CINW 3–2L -1.5U 7.5
7/19/25vs CINL 2–5L -1.5U 8.5
7/18/25vs CINL 4–8L -1.5O 7.5
7/13/25@ KCL 2–3L -1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

San Diego Padres

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/27/25@ STLW 9–2W +1.5O 8.5
7/26/25@ STLW 3–1W +1.5U 9.5
7/25/25@ STLL 0–3L -1.5U 8.5
7/24/25@ STLL 7–9L +1.5O 7.5
7/23/25@ MIAL 2–3L -1.5U 7.5
7/22/25@ MIAL 3–4W +1.5U 7.5
7/21/25@ MIAW 2–1W +1.5U 8.5
7/20/25@ WSHW 8–1W -1.5O 8.5
7/19/25@ WSHL 2–4L -1.5U 9.5
7/18/25@ WSHW 7–2W -1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mets and Padres
Statistic
N/A (8.0)HitsN/A (8.1)
N/A (1.3)DoublesN/A (1.4)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.1)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (13.2)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.4)
N/A (8.4)StrikeoutsN/A (8.1)
N/A (0.6)Stolen BasesN/A (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MetsFrankie MontasConfirmed
PadresDylan CeaseConfirmed

Starting lineups

New York MetsConfirmed
  1. 1Brandon NimmoLF
  2. 2Francisco LindorSS
  3. 3Juan SotoRF
  4. 4Pete Alonso1B
  5. 5Jeff McNeilCF
  6. 6Mark VientosDH
  7. 7Brett Baty2B
  8. 8Francisco AlvarezC
  9. 9Ronny Mauricio3B
San Diego PadresConfirmed
  1. 1Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
  2. 2Luis Arraez1B
  3. 3Manny Machado3B
  4. 4Jackson MerrillCF
  5. 5Xander BogaertsSS
  6. 6Gavin SheetsDH
  7. 7Jake Cronenworth2B
  8. 8Bryce JohnsonLF
  9. 9Elias DiazC


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