MLB matchup
08/05/20259:40 PMChase FieldPhoenix, Arizona

Padres86 – 69vsDiamondbacks81 – 74

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
San Diego PadresBBB
Arizona DiamondbacksB-C+C+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
SD-125-1.5 (+140)
ARI+105+1.5 (-165)
Total 8.5Over -125Under +105
Recent form

Last 10 games

San Diego Padres

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
8/4/25@ ARIL 2–6L -1.5U 9.5
8/3/25vs STLW 7–3W -1.5O 7.5
8/2/25vs STLL 5–8L -1.5O 8.5
8/1/25vs STLW 4–1W -1.5U 7.5
7/30/25vs NYMW 5–0W +1.5U 8.5
7/29/25vs NYMW 7–1W +1.5U 8.5
7/28/25vs NYMW 7–6L -1.5O 7.5
7/27/25@ STLW 9–2W +1.5O 8.5
7/26/25@ STLW 3–1W +1.5U 9.5
7/25/25@ STLL 0–3L -1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
8/4/25vs SDW 6–2W +1.5U 9.5
8/3/25@ ATHW 6–4W +1.5O 9.5
8/2/25@ ATHW 7–2W -1.5U 9.5
8/1/25@ ATHL 1–5L -1.5U 9.5
7/30/25@ DETL 2–7L +1.5U 9.5
7/29/25@ DETL 2–12L +1.5O 8.5
7/28/25@ DETL 1–5L +1.5U 8.5
7/27/25@ PITL 0–6L +1.5U 7.5
7/26/25@ PITL 0–2L -1.5U 8.5
7/25/25@ PITW 1–0L -1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Padres and Diamondbacks
Statistic
N/A (8.1)HitsN/A (8.2)
N/A (1.4)DoublesN/A (1.7)
N/A (1.1)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.2)Total BasesN/A (13.3)
N/A (3.4)WalksN/A (3.3)
N/A (8.1)StrikeoutsN/A (7.5)
N/A (1.0)Stolen BasesN/A (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PadresYu DarvishConfirmed
DiamondbacksRyne NelsonConfirmed

Starting lineups

San Diego PadresConfirmed
  1. 1Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
  2. 2Luis Arraez1B
  3. 3Manny MachadoDH
  4. 4Jackson MerrillCF
  5. 5Xander BogaertsSS
  6. 6Ramon LaureanoLF
  7. 7Jake Cronenworth2B
  8. 8Jose Iglesias3B
  9. 9Elias DiazC
Arizona DiamondbacksConfirmed
  1. 1Corbin CarrollRF
  2. 2Ketel Marte2B
  3. 3Geraldo PerdomoSS
  4. 4Lourdes Gurriel Jr.DH
  5. 5Tyler Locklear1B
  6. 6Jake McCarthyLF
  7. 7Blaze Alexander3B
  8. 8Alek ThomasCF
  9. 9Jose HerreraC


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