Astros77 – 78vsMarlins76 – 79

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Houston Astros	B	C+	B
Miami Marlins	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+100-1.5 (+165)

MIA-120+1.5 (-200)

Total 8.5Over +110Under -130

Recent form

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/5/25	@ MIA	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/4/25	@ MIA	W 8–2	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/3/25	@ BOS	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/2/25	@ BOS	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 9.5
8/1/25	@ BOS	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
7/30/25	vs WSH	W 9–1	W +1.5	O 8.5
7/29/25	vs WSH	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
7/28/25	vs WSH	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
7/27/25	vs ATH	L 1–7	L -1.5	U 8.5
7/26/25	vs ATH	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/5/25	vs HOU	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/4/25	vs HOU	L 2–8	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/3/25	vs NYY	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/2/25	vs NYY	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/1/25	vs NYY	W 13–12	W +1.5	O 7.5
7/30/25	@ STL	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 8.5
7/29/25	@ STL	W 5–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
7/28/25	@ STL	L 1–7	L -1.5	U 8.5
7/27/25	@ MIL	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
7/26/25	@ MIL	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

AstrosSpencer ArrighettiConfirmed

MarlinsJanson JunkConfirmed

Houston AstrosConfirmed

Miami MarlinsConfirmed

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