MLB matchup
08/09/20256:40 PMPNC ParkPittsburgh, Pennsylvania84°F · Cloudy-Dry

Reds72 – 83vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Cincinnati RedsCB-C+
Pittsburgh PiratesC+BB-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
CIN-115-1.5 (+150)
PIT-105+1.5 (-180)
Total 8.5Over +105Under -125
Recent form

Last 10 games

Cincinnati Reds

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
8/8/25@ PITL 2–3L -1.5U 7.5
8/7/25@ PITL 0–7L +1.5O 6.5
8/6/25@ CHCL 1–6L +1.5U 7.5
8/5/25@ CHCW 5–1W +1.5U 7.5
8/4/25@ CHCW 3–2W +1.5U 7.5
8/2/25vs ATLL 2–4L +1.5U 8.5
8/1/25vs ATLW 3–2L -1.5U 9.5
7/31/25vs ATLL 11–12L -1.5O 8.5
7/30/25vs LADW 5–2W +1.5U 9.5
7/29/25vs LADL 4–5W +1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
8/8/25vs CINW 3–2W +1.5U 7.5
8/7/25vs CINW 7–0W -1.5O 6.5
8/6/25vs SFL 2–4L +1.5U 7.5
8/5/25vs SFL 1–8L +1.5O 7.5
8/4/25vs SFW 5–4W +1.5O 8.5
8/3/25@ COLW 9–5W -1.5O 10.5
8/2/25@ COLL 5–8L -2.5O 10.5
8/1/25@ COLL 16–17L -1.5O 11.5
7/30/25@ SFW 2–1W +1.5U 7.5
7/29/25@ SFW 3–1W +1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Reds and Pirates
Statistic
N/A (7.6)HitsN/A (8.7)
N/A (1.4)DoublesN/A (1.6)
N/A (1.3)Home RunsN/A (1.2)
N/A (13.0)Total BasesN/A (13.9)
N/A (3.5)WalksN/A (3.5)
N/A (9.5)StrikeoutsN/A (9.3)
N/A (0.7)Stolen BasesN/A (0.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RedsNick MartinezConfirmed
PiratesBraxton AshcraftConfirmed

Starting lineups

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed
  1. 1TJ FriedlCF
  2. 2Matt McLain2B
  3. 3Elly De La CruzSS
  4. 4Miguel AndujarDH
  5. 5Gavin LuxLF
  6. 6Spencer Steer1B
  7. 7Tyler StephensonC
  8. 8Noelvi MarteRF
  9. 9Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Spencer Horwitz1B
  2. 2Tommy PhamLF
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsRF
  4. 4Oneil CruzCF
  5. 5Andrew McCutchenDH
  6. 6Nick Gonzales2B
  7. 7Joey BartC
  8. 8Liover PegueroSS
  9. 9Jared Triolo3B


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