MLB matchup
08/11/20257:40 PMMiller ParkMilwaukee, Wisconsin

Pirates78 – 77vsBrewers97 – 58

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Pittsburgh PiratesC+CC
Milwaukee BrewersA-CB-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
PIT+155+1.5 (-120)
MIL-185-1.5 (+100)
Total 8.5Over -130Under +110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
8/10/25vs CINL 8–14L +1.5O 8.5
8/9/25vs CINL 1–2W +1.5U 8.5
8/8/25vs CINW 3–2W +1.5U 7.5
8/7/25vs CINW 7–0W -1.5O 6.5
8/6/25vs SFL 2–4L +1.5U 7.5
8/5/25vs SFL 1–8L +1.5O 7.5
8/4/25vs SFW 5–4W +1.5O 8.5
8/3/25@ COLW 9–5W -1.5O 10.5
8/2/25@ COLL 5–8L -2.5O 10.5
8/1/25@ COLL 16–17L -1.5O 11.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall9–1–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
8/10/25vs NYMW 7–6L -1.5O 8.5
8/9/25vs NYMW 7–4W +1.5O 9.5
8/8/25vs NYMW 3–2L -1.5U 8.5
8/6/25@ ATLW 5–4W +1.5O 7.5
8/5/25@ ATLW 7–2W -1.5O 7.5
8/4/25@ ATLW 3–1W -1.5U 8.5
8/3/25@ WSHW 14–3W -1.5O 8.5
8/2/25@ WSHW 8–2W -1.5O 8.5
8/1/25@ WSHW 16–9W -1.5O 8.5
7/30/25vs CHCL 3–10L +1.5O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and Brewers
Statistic
N/A (8.7)HitsN/A (8.6)
N/A (1.6)DoublesN/A (1.7)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (0.9)
N/A (13.9)Total BasesN/A (13.4)
N/A (3.5)WalksN/A (4.1)
N/A (9.3)StrikeoutsN/A (8.4)
N/A (0.8)Stolen BasesN/A (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesAndrew HeaneyConfirmed
BrewersJose QuintanaConfirmed

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Liover Peguero1B
  2. 2Tommy PhamLF
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsRF
  4. 4Nick Gonzales2B
  5. 5Andrew McCutchenDH
  6. 6Alexander CanarioCF
  7. 7Joey BartC
  8. 8Jared TrioloSS
  9. 9Isiah Kiner-Falefa3B
Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed
  1. 1Brice Turang2B
  2. 2Isaac CollinsLF
  3. 3William ContrerasC
  4. 4Christian YelichDH
  5. 5Andrew Vaughn1B
  6. 6Caleb Durbin3B
  7. 7Sal FrelickRF
  8. 8Brandon LockridgeCF
  9. 9Joey OrtizSS


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